碳影响的不确定性和避免二氧化碳排放的意愿

IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY
Davide D. Pace , Taisuke Imai , Peter Schwardmann , Joël J. van der Weele
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过使用一项大型代表性调查的数据,我们发现消费者对与各种行动相关的排放量非常不确定,这可能会影响他们减少碳足迹的意愿。然后,我们通过实验测试了这种不确定性对行为影响的两个渠道,即对减排行动影响的风险规避和对这种影响形成的动机信念。在两个新颖的大型在线实验(N=2,219)中,参与者在个人收益和(不确定的)碳影响之间进行激励权衡。我们没有发现证据表明不确定性会通过风险规避或动机信念渠道影响个人减缓气候变化的努力。研究结果表明,通过信息宣传减少消费者的不确定性并不是政策的灵丹妙药,围绕气候影响的科学不确定性进行沟通也不会适得其反。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Uncertainty about carbon impact and the willingness to avoid CO2 emissions
Using data from a large representative survey, we document that consumers are very uncertain about the emissions associated with various actions, which may affect their willingness to reduce their carbon footprint. We then experimentally test two channels for the behavioral impact of such uncertainty, namely risk aversion about the impact of mitigating actions and the formation of motivated beliefs about this impact. In two novel large online experiments (N=2,219), participants make incentivized trade-offs between personal gain and (uncertain) carbon impact. We find no evidence that uncertainty affects individual climate change mitigation efforts through risk aversion or motivated belief channels. The results suggest that reducing consumer uncertainty through information campaigns is not a policy panacea and that communicating scientific uncertainty around climate impact need not backfire.
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来源期刊
Ecological Economics
Ecological Economics 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
12.00
自引率
5.70%
发文量
313
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Ecological Economics is concerned with extending and integrating the understanding of the interfaces and interplay between "nature''s household" (ecosystems) and "humanity''s household" (the economy). Ecological economics is an interdisciplinary field defined by a set of concrete problems or challenges related to governing economic activity in a way that promotes human well-being, sustainability, and justice. The journal thus emphasizes critical work that draws on and integrates elements of ecological science, economics, and the analysis of values, behaviors, cultural practices, institutional structures, and societal dynamics. The journal is transdisciplinary in spirit and methodologically open, drawing on the insights offered by a variety of intellectual traditions, and appealing to a diverse readership. Specific research areas covered include: valuation of natural resources, sustainable agriculture and development, ecologically integrated technology, integrated ecologic-economic modelling at scales from local to regional to global, implications of thermodynamics for economics and ecology, renewable resource management and conservation, critical assessments of the basic assumptions underlying current economic and ecological paradigms and the implications of alternative assumptions, economic and ecological consequences of genetically engineered organisms, and gene pool inventory and management, alternative principles for valuing natural wealth, integrating natural resources and environmental services into national income and wealth accounts, methods of implementing efficient environmental policies, case studies of economic-ecologic conflict or harmony, etc. New issues in this area are rapidly emerging and will find a ready forum in Ecological Economics.
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