考虑新能源汽车影响后中国道路低碳交通效率的变化

IF 6.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS
An Cheng , Guogang Jiang , Xiangyu Teng , Wenting Xu , Yimin Li , Longhui Wu , Yung-ho Chiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国的目标是到 2030 年实现碳排放峰值,到 2060 年实现碳中和。作为碳排放排名第一的行业,交通运输业面临着严峻的低碳转型形势。新能源汽车的快速发展已成为提高中国道路低碳交通效率的重要手段。现有研究很少考虑新能源汽车发展的影响,中国低碳交通发展存在区域不平衡的问题。本研究将新能源汽车销量作为重要的外生变量,采用改进的元动态非径向方向距离函数(DDF)分析中国道路的低碳交通效率。将新能源汽车销量纳入分析体系后,中国道路交通整体效率显著提高。年均低碳运输效率现值比原来提高了 0.06-0.1,但存在地区差异。拥有技术优势的东部地区表现最好,平均低碳运输效率达到 0.92。新能源汽车的替代大大提高了华中地区道路低碳交通的效率。由于 NEV 的普及率较低等因素,西部地区道路低碳交通效率的提升有限。我们深入探讨了发展 NEV 提高道路低碳交通效率的原因,讨论了通过推广 NEV 改善碳排放的问题,分析了道路低碳交通效率的地区不平衡性,并从地区差异的角度为未来 NEV 的发展提供了政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Changes in low-carbon transportation efficiency of Chinese roads after considering the impact of new energy vehicles
China aims to attain peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. As a top-ranked carbon-emitting industry, the transportation industry faces a severe low-carbon transformation situation. The rapid development of new energy vehicles (NEVs) has become an important means to improve the low-carbon transportation efficiency of Chinese roads. Existing studies rarely consider the impact of the development of NEVs, and a regional imbalance exists in the development of low-carbon transportation in China. This study takes the sales of NEVs as an important exogenous variable and uses a modified meta-dynamic non-radial directional distance function (DDF) to analyze the low-carbon transportation efficiency of Chinese roads. After incorporating the sales of NEVs into the analysis system, China's overall road transportation efficiency has significantly improved. The present value of the average annual low-carbon transportation efficiency has increased by 0.06–0.1 compared to the original value, but there are regional differences. The eastern region, with its technological advantages, has achieved the best performance with an average low-carbon transportation efficiency of 0.92. The substitution of NEVs has significantly improved the efficiency of low-carbon transportation on roads in central China. The improvement of low-carbon transportation efficiency on roads in western China is limited due to factors such as the low popularity of NEVs. We delved into the reasons for the development of NEVs to improve the efficiency of low-carbon transportation on roads, discussed the improvement of carbon emissions through the promotion of NEVs, analyzed the regional imbalance of low-carbon transportation efficiency on roads, and provided policy recommendations for the future development of NEVs from the perspective of regional differences.
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来源期刊
Transport Policy
Transport Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
12.10
自引率
10.30%
发文量
282
期刊介绍: Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.
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