温度与电动汽车的采用：美国邮政编码级分析

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104435

Gaia Cervini, Jinha Jung, Konstantina Gkritza

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引用次数: 0

摘要

居住在较冷或较暖气候条件下的电动汽车（EV）用户会经历较短的行驶里程、较慢的加速度和较长的充电时间，这可能会阻碍电动汽车的采用。我们利用美国七个州的数据，在邮政编码层面分析了气温与电动汽车采用率之间的联系。我们收集了地表和空气温度数据，以及社会人口、基础设施、土地覆盖、海拔和选举数据。利用随机森林回归法，我们预测了电池电动汽车（BEV）和插电式混合动力电动汽车（PHEV）的人口变化率和普及率。我们的研究结果表明，气温变化和极端气温是预测 BEV 和 PHEV 采用情况的主要因素之一。了解这种关系对于评估电动汽车在不同气候条件下的可行性以及确保公平使用该技术至关重要。这项研究强调了将环境因素纳入促进电动汽车采用战略的重要性。

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Temperature and electric vehicle adoption: A ZIP code-level analysis in the US

Electric vehicle (EV) users living in colder or warmer climates experience shorter traveling ranges, slower acceleration, and longer recharge times, which might discourage EV adoption. Using data from seven US states, we analyze the link between temperature and EV adoption at the ZIP code level. We collect land surface and air temperature data, along with sociodemographic, infrastructure, land cover, elevation, and electoral data. Using random forest regression, we predict battery electric (BEV) and plug-in hybrid electric (PHEV) vehicle population change rates and penetrations. Our findings reveal that temperature variation and temperature extremes are among the top predictors of BEV and PHEV adoption. Understanding this relationship is crucial for assessing EV feasibility in diverse climates and ensuring equitable access to the technology. This study underscores the importance of incorporating environmental factors in strategies to promote EV adoption.

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.