世界各国碳社会成本的内部化--对其影响的经济评估

IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Cristian Mardones
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引用次数: 0

摘要

将碳的社会成本(SCC)内部化是减少导致全球变暖的排放的最有效替代方法。然而,许多国家实施的碳定价措施与社会碳成本的经验估算有很大差异。因此,本研究通过多地区投入产出(MRIO)价格模型的环境扩展,模拟了世界各国将 SCC 内部化的经济和环境影响。结果表明,受经济影响最大的国家的特点是其能源结构中化石燃料的比例较高。此外,能源和粮食价格也会相应上涨,这可能会提高中低收入国家的贫困率。结论是,根据所使用的 SCC,全球减排量可在 5.1% 到 50.3% 之间变化,而只有十个国家能解释 77% 的减排量。此外,如果使用较近基年的数据,全球减排量也会下降,这表明经济结构转型也会对碳定价的影响产生重大影响。最后,建议激励能效措施,以部分应对这种成本冲击。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Internalization of the social cost of carbon in each of the countries of the world—An economic assessment of its impacts

The internalization of the social cost of carbon (SCC) is the most efficient alternative to reduce the emissions that cause global warming. However, the carbon pricing initiatives implemented in many countries differ significantly from the empirical estimates of the SCC. Therefore, this study simulates the economic and environmental effects of internalizing the SCC in all the world’s nations through the environmental extension of a multi-regional input–output (MRIO) price model. The results show that the most affected countries economically are characterized by having an energy matrix with high participation of fossil fuels. In addition, there are relevant increases in the prices of energy and food, which are likely to raise poverty rates in low- and middle-income countries. It is concluded that the global emission reduction can vary between 5.1% and 50.3% depending on the SCC used, and only ten countries explain 77% of this reduction. In addition, global emissions reduction falls if data from a more recent base year is used, demonstrating that the structural transformations of the economy also strongly affect the impacts of carbon pricing. Finally, it is recommended that energy efficiency measures be incentivized to address partially this cost shock.

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来源期刊
Energy Efficiency
Energy Efficiency ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
59
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal Energy Efficiency covers wide-ranging aspects of energy efficiency in the residential, tertiary, industrial and transport sectors. Coverage includes a number of different topics and disciplines including energy efficiency policies at local, regional, national and international levels; long term impact of energy efficiency; technologies to improve energy efficiency; consumer behavior and the dynamics of consumption; socio-economic impacts of energy efficiency measures; energy efficiency as a virtual utility; transportation issues; building issues; energy management systems and energy services; energy planning and risk assessment; energy efficiency in developing countries and economies in transition; non-energy benefits of energy efficiency and opportunities for policy integration; energy education and training, and emerging technologies. See Aims and Scope for more details.
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