评估用于绘制滑坡易发性地图的统计建模 (SM) 方法:不丹的地理空间见解

IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Sangay Gyeltshen, Indra Bahadur Chhetri, Kelzang Dema
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引用次数: 0

摘要

山体滑坡对人类住区、基础设施和环境构成重大威胁,因此有必要采取积极措施降低灾害风险(DRR)。本研究探索了遥感 (RS)、地理信息系统 (GIS) 和统计建模 (SM) 技术的整合,以创建一个全面的滑坡易发性绘图模型。其目的是加深我们对滑坡易发性的空间分布和影响因素的了解,最终帮助进行有效的土地利用规划和灾害管理。由于地形、水文、地质、地貌和气候条件的广泛影响,山区滑坡风险的易感性表现出明显的区域性。因此,我们提出了三个统计模型(即频率比(FR)、信息值(InV)和香农熵(SE))来评估国家层面的易感性。利用 30% 的历史滑坡事件,使用接收者操作特征(ROC)分析和曲线下面积(AUC)对易感性模型进行了验证。结果证明了 RS-GIS-SM 综合方法在预测滑坡易发性方面的可靠性和有效性。三个模型显示出很强的一致性,FR、SE 和 InV 的 AUC 分别为 0.910、0.909 和 0.908,差异可以忽略不计。研究结果为土地利用规划者、环境机构和决策者提供了宝贵的见解,帮助他们确定高风险地区的优先缓减策略。此外,所开发的模型还可作为未来研究和改进的基础,为不断提高不同地理区域滑坡易发性绘图的准确性和适用性做出贡献。RS-GIS-SM 技术的集成为了解和管理滑坡风险提供了一个强大的工具集,最终促进社区更加安全、更具抗灾能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of statistical modeling (SM) approaches for landslide susceptibility mapping: geospatial insights for Bhutan

Landslides pose a significant threat to human settlements, infrastructure, and the environment, necessitating proactive measures for disaster risk reduction (DRR). This study explores the integration of Remote Sensing (RS), Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Statistical Modelling (SM) techniques to create a comprehensive landslide susceptibility mapping model. The objective is to enhance our understanding of the spatial distribution and factors influencing landslide susceptibility, ultimately aiding in effective land-use planning and disaster management. Because of the extensive impacts of topography, hydrology, geology, geomorphology, and climatic conditions, the susceptibility to landslide risks in mountainous places, exhibits obvious regionalism. As a result, we proposed three statistical models (i.e., Frequency Ratio (FR), Information Value (InV), and Shannon Entropy (SE)) to evaluate susceptibility at the national level. Validation of the susceptibility model is performed using 30% of the historical landslide events using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and area under the curve (AUC). The results demonstrate the reliability and effectiveness of the integrated RS-GIS-SM approach in predicting landslide susceptibility. The three models demonstrate strong agreement with negligible differences in AUC of 0.910, 0.909, and 0.908 for FR, SE, and InV, respectively. The study's findings provide valuable insights into land-use planners, environmental agencies, and decision-makers to prioritize high-risk areas for mitigation strategies. Additionally, the developed model serves as a basis for future research and refinement, contributing to ongoing efforts to enhance landslide susceptibility mapping accuracy and applicability in diverse geographic regions. The integration of RS-GIS-SM technologies offers a powerful toolset for understanding and managing landslide risk, ultimately promoting safer and more resilient communities.

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来源期刊
Environmental Earth Sciences
Environmental Earth Sciences 环境科学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
494
审稿时长
8.3 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Earth Sciences is an international multidisciplinary journal concerned with all aspects of interaction between humans, natural resources, ecosystems, special climates or unique geographic zones, and the earth: Water and soil contamination caused by waste management and disposal practices Environmental problems associated with transportation by land, air, or water Geological processes that may impact biosystems or humans Man-made or naturally occurring geological or hydrological hazards Environmental problems associated with the recovery of materials from the earth Environmental problems caused by extraction of minerals, coal, and ores, as well as oil and gas, water and alternative energy sources Environmental impacts of exploration and recultivation – Environmental impacts of hazardous materials Management of environmental data and information in data banks and information systems Dissemination of knowledge on techniques, methods, approaches and experiences to improve and remediate the environment In pursuit of these topics, the geoscientific disciplines are invited to contribute their knowledge and experience. Major disciplines include: hydrogeology, hydrochemistry, geochemistry, geophysics, engineering geology, remediation science, natural resources management, environmental climatology and biota, environmental geography, soil science and geomicrobiology.
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