Histological scores are poor predictors of short term outcomes in acute severe ulcerative colitis: An observational study

Background

The role of various histologic scores in predicting outcomes in acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is unexplored.

Methods

Consecutive patients of ASUC undergoing sigmoidoscopy and histological assessment by two independent pathologists for Simplified Geboes score (SGS), Robarts Histopathology Index (RHI) and Nancy histological index (NHI)] were included. Primary outcome was the role of histology in predicting need for second-line therapy or colectomy.

Results

Of 82 patients with ASUC (mean age: 36 years, males 47.5 %), non-response to steroids was observed in 27 (32.9 %) of cases. Sixteen patients required second-line drug therapy and 8 required colectomy. There was no significant association between the need for second-line therapy or colectomy and the baseline histological scores [NHI (p = 0.61), SGS (p = 0.116) and RHI (p = 0.109)]. All three scores performed poorly to predict the need for second-line treatment or colectomy within 28 days. There was no significant association between histological scores and steroid response (NHI (p = 0.796), SGS (p = 0.57) and RHI (p = 0.941)]. All three scores had a strong positive correlation observed between each other but not with endoscopic Mayo score.

Conclusion

The three histologic scores (SGS, RHI and NHI) performed poorly in prediction of need for second-line treatment or colectomy in ASUC. Future studies should study the impact of histologic assessment on long term outcomes in ASUC.