Atherogenic index of plasma and obesity-related risk of stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a national prospective cohort study.

Backgroud: The association between the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and stroke risk is uncertain. Overweight and obese individuals frequently develop atherosclerosis, suggesting AIP may mediate the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and stroke risk. This study investigates whether AIP mediates the BMI-stroke association and evaluates the interaction effects of AIP and BMI on stroke risk in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

Method: This study analyzes data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), an ongoing nationally representative prospective cohort study that began in 2011. It includes 8 598 middle-aged and older Chinese adults without stroke at baseline. A mediation analysis, employing a novel two-stage regression method, was conducted to evaluate the indirect effect of BMI on stroke through AIP.

Results: During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 615 (7.2%) participants developed a stroke. After adjusting for confounders, AIP was significantly associated with stroke risk (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-SD increase, 1.24; 95% CI 1.14-1.35). Mediation analysis indicated that compared to normal weight, obesity similarly raised stroke risk by 78.0% (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.40-2.27), with 29.67% (95% CI 14.27-45.08%) of the association mediated through AIP (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.08-1.23). No significant multiplicative or additive interactions were observed between BMI and AIP on stroke.

Conclusions: This study found that the AIP appeared to be associated with stroke risk and mediates the association between obesity and stroke among middle-aged and older Chinese adults.