Optimizing Urban Traffic Management: Investigating the Impact of Probe Vehicle Road Coverage, Penetration Rates, and Speed Data Quality in Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram Estimation

Probe vehicles and loop detectors collect traffic data for empirical MFD estimation. The accuracy of MFD estimation is contingent upon the percentage of road network links covered (road coverage) and the extent of information (penetration rate) from each link. While the previous research has explored the effects of loop detector road coverage and probe vehicle penetration rates, the impact of probe vehicle road coverage remains unaddressed. Furthermore, the unequal distribution and low penetration rates of probe vehicles undermine the reliability of the data obtained from them. Therefore, this study aimed to (i) examine the impact of probe vehicle road coverage on MFD estimation, (ii) enhance the reliability of the spatial data by using speed data reconstruction, (iii) highlight the increased role of spatial data in the accuracy of MFD estimation, and (iv) develop a performance factor of speed data quality to demonstrate that the quality of spatial data is more susceptible to the penetration rate than road coverage. The results underlined the role of FCD road coverage in MFD estimation, and the proposed methodology significantly improves spatial data quality. The study concluded that spatial and temporal data affect the MFD estimation differently, and the proposed performance factor increases the role of spatial data in MFD estimation.