通过最先进的概率语言决策框架选择氢能储存技术

IF 4.2 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Raghunathan Krishankumar , Fatih Ecer , Sema Kayapınar Kaya , Witold Pedrycz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为传统能源形式的可行替代品,氢能因其成本低廉和减少污染而被证明是有效的。储存这种可再生能源对于确保能源安全和促进可持续发展至关重要。然而,早期关于储能技术(EST)选择的研究无法处理复杂的语言表达和决策过程中的犹豫不决。受这一问题的启发,本研究开发了一种概率语言决策方法,以有效模拟日常对话中的语言表达。此外,本研究还引入了一种新的综合方法,即在确定专家权重时考虑遗憾因素,在确定标准权重时考虑克朗巴赫加权方法,以及在确定 EST 优先级时考虑加权近似的新型排序程序。通过考虑九项标准和六项 EST,举例说明了拟议框架的有用性和实用性。这项研究的主要新颖性/优势在于(i) 更好地处理不确定性;(ii) 捕获标准之间的相互关系;(iii) 通过有条不紊地确定专家的重要性来减少偏差;以及 (iv) 提供个性化的 EST 排序。研究结果表明,总成本是选择氢气 EST 的首要驱动因素,而压力罐储存是最可行的技术。最后,通过敏感性分析和比较分析,研究的益处和实用性得以体现。这项研究可以为能源官员、学者、政府和其他面临氢能 EST 选择问题的利益相关者提供指导和帮助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Hydrogen energy storage technology selection through a cutting-edge probabilistic linguistic decision framework

Hydrogen energy storage technology selection through a cutting-edge probabilistic linguistic decision framework
As a viable alternative to traditional energy forms, hydrogen energy proves effective owing to its feasible cost and reduced pollution. The storage of such a renewable energy source is essential for ensuring energy security and promoting sustainability. However, earlier studies on energy storage technology (EST) selection cannot handle complex linguistic expressions and hesitation during the decision process. Motivated by the issue, a probabilistic linguistic decision approach is developed in the present study to model linguistic expressions in daily conversations effectively. Besides, a new integrated approach is introduced by considering the regret factor for expert weight determination, weighted Cronbach’s approach for criteria weight determination, and a novel ranking procedure with a weighted approximation for prioritizing ESTs. A case example is exemplified by considering nine criteria and six ESTs to clarify the usefulness and practicality of the proposed framework. The main novelty/benefits of the study are: (i) handle uncertainty better; (ii) capture interrelationship among criteria; (iii) reduce bias by methodically determining the importance of experts; and (iv) provide a personalized ranking of ESTs. Findings depict that total cost is the foremost driver for hydrogen EST selection, while pressure cylinder storage is the most viable technology. Finally, the benefits and usefulness of the study are realized through sensitivity and comparison analyses. This study can guide and assist energy officials, academicians, governments, and other stakeholders facing hydrogen EST selection issues.
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来源期刊
Renewable Energy Focus
Renewable Energy Focus Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
8.30%
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0
审稿时长
48 days
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