{"title":"中国经济转型和可持续发展战略中的减排效果评估","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112522","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As the world’s largest carbon emitter and the second-largest economy, China’s soaring carbon emissions are intricately linked to its historical reliance on GDP-based performance appraisal for local officials. In response, the Chinese government initiated reforms in 2014 to phase out the GDP-centric evaluation system (POGE) in underdeveloped regions, aiming to reduce carbon emissions and foster sustainable development. Notably, China met its Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions target ahead of schedule in 2020. However, research on the impact of the POGE policy on carbon emissions reduction remains scarce. This study addresses this critical gap by using county-level panel data from 2011 to 2020 and applying staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) and Propensity Score Matching-Difference in Differences (PSM-DID) models to assess the POGE policy’s effects on per capita carbon emissions. Our findings reveal that the POGE policy has significantly lowered per capita carbon emissions by 13.1% to 14.1% in underdeveloped regions, with a marked regional gradient from east to west. The policy has also facilitated a shift in local industrial structure, favoring the primary industry over the secondary, further contributing to emission reduction. Overall, the POGE policy has not only improved the ecological environment but also supported local economic growth in these regions. These insights offer valuable policy implications for policymakers in China and other developing nations in crafting effective emission reduction strategies to achieve UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action) by 2030.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11459,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Indicators","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Assessment of emission reduction effects in China’s economic transformation and sustainable development strategy\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112522\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>As the world’s largest carbon emitter and the second-largest economy, China’s soaring carbon emissions are intricately linked to its historical reliance on GDP-based performance appraisal for local officials. In response, the Chinese government initiated reforms in 2014 to phase out the GDP-centric evaluation system (POGE) in underdeveloped regions, aiming to reduce carbon emissions and foster sustainable development. Notably, China met its Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions target ahead of schedule in 2020. However, research on the impact of the POGE policy on carbon emissions reduction remains scarce. This study addresses this critical gap by using county-level panel data from 2011 to 2020 and applying staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) and Propensity Score Matching-Difference in Differences (PSM-DID) models to assess the POGE policy’s effects on per capita carbon emissions. Our findings reveal that the POGE policy has significantly lowered per capita carbon emissions by 13.1% to 14.1% in underdeveloped regions, with a marked regional gradient from east to west. The policy has also facilitated a shift in local industrial structure, favoring the primary industry over the secondary, further contributing to emission reduction. Overall, the POGE policy has not only improved the ecological environment but also supported local economic growth in these regions. These insights offer valuable policy implications for policymakers in China and other developing nations in crafting effective emission reduction strategies to achieve UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action) by 2030.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11459,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ecological Indicators\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ecological Indicators\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24009798\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ecological Indicators","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24009798","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Assessment of emission reduction effects in China’s economic transformation and sustainable development strategy
As the world’s largest carbon emitter and the second-largest economy, China’s soaring carbon emissions are intricately linked to its historical reliance on GDP-based performance appraisal for local officials. In response, the Chinese government initiated reforms in 2014 to phase out the GDP-centric evaluation system (POGE) in underdeveloped regions, aiming to reduce carbon emissions and foster sustainable development. Notably, China met its Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions target ahead of schedule in 2020. However, research on the impact of the POGE policy on carbon emissions reduction remains scarce. This study addresses this critical gap by using county-level panel data from 2011 to 2020 and applying staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) and Propensity Score Matching-Difference in Differences (PSM-DID) models to assess the POGE policy’s effects on per capita carbon emissions. Our findings reveal that the POGE policy has significantly lowered per capita carbon emissions by 13.1% to 14.1% in underdeveloped regions, with a marked regional gradient from east to west. The policy has also facilitated a shift in local industrial structure, favoring the primary industry over the secondary, further contributing to emission reduction. Overall, the POGE policy has not only improved the ecological environment but also supported local economic growth in these regions. These insights offer valuable policy implications for policymakers in China and other developing nations in crafting effective emission reduction strategies to achieve UN Sustainable Development Goal 13 (Climate Action) by 2030.
期刊介绍:
The ultimate aim of Ecological Indicators is to integrate the monitoring and assessment of ecological and environmental indicators with management practices. The journal provides a forum for the discussion of the applied scientific development and review of traditional indicator approaches as well as for theoretical, modelling and quantitative applications such as index development. Research into the following areas will be published.
• All aspects of ecological and environmental indicators and indices.
• New indicators, and new approaches and methods for indicator development, testing and use.
• Development and modelling of indices, e.g. application of indicator suites across multiple scales and resources.
• Analysis and research of resource, system- and scale-specific indicators.
• Methods for integration of social and other valuation metrics for the production of scientifically rigorous and politically-relevant assessments using indicator-based monitoring and assessment programs.
• How research indicators can be transformed into direct application for management purposes.
• Broader assessment objectives and methods, e.g. biodiversity, biological integrity, and sustainability, through the use of indicators.
• Resource-specific indicators such as landscape, agroecosystems, forests, wetlands, etc.