Characterization and Automatic Discrimination between Predominant Hypoperfusion and Hyperperfusion Stages of NPDR.

Background/objectives: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a common diabetes complication that can lead to blindness through vision-threatening complications like clinically significant macular edema and proliferative retinopathy. Identifying eyes at risk of progression using non-invasive methods could help develop targeted therapies to halt diabetic retinal disease progression.

Methods: A set of 82 imaging and systemic features was used to characterize the progression of nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR). These features include baseline measurements (static features) and those capturing the temporal dynamic behavior of these static features within one year (dynamic features). Interpretable models were trained to distinguish between eyes with Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) level 35 and eyes with ETDRS levels 43-47. The data used in this research were collected from 109 diabetic type 2 patients (67.26 ± 2.70 years; diabetes duration 19.6 ± 7.26 years) and acquired over 2 years.

Results: The characterization of the data indicates that NPDR progresses from an initial stage of hypoperfusion to a hyperperfusion response. The performance of the classification model using static features achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics equal to 0.84 ± 0.07, while the model using both static and dynamic features achieved an AUC of 0.91 ± 0.05.

Conclusion: NPDR progresses through an initial hypoperfusion stage followed by a hyperperfusion response. Characterizing and automatically identifying this disease progression stage is valuable and necessary. The results indicate that achieving this goal is feasible, paving the way for the improved evaluation of progression risk and the development of better-targeted therapies to prevent vision-threatening complications.