{"title":"解剖淋巴结数量对基于机器学习的肺癌术后复发预测的影响:一项单医院回顾性队列研究。","authors":"Kensuke Kojima, Hironobu Samejima, Kyoichi Okishio, Toshiteru Tokunaga, Hyungeun Yoon, Shinji Atagi","doi":"10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001926","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The optimal number of lymph nodes to be dissected during lung cancer surgery to minimise the postoperative recurrence risk remains undetermined. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes on the risk of postoperative recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using machine learning algorithms and statistical analyses.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrospectively analysed 650 patients with NSCLC who underwent complete resection. Five machine learning models were trained using clinicopathological variables to predict postoperative recurrence. The relationship between the number of dissected lymph nodes and postoperative recurrence was investigated in the best-performing model using Shapley additive explanations values and partial dependence plots. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the HR for postoperative recurrence based on the number of dissected nodes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The random forest model demonstrated superior predictive performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.92, accuracy: 0.83, F1 score: 0.64). The partial dependence plot of this model revealed a non-linear dependence of the number of dissected lymph nodes on recurrence prediction within the range of 0-20 nodes, with the weakest dependence at 10 nodes. A linear increase in the dependence was observed for ≥20 dissected nodes. A multivariable analysis revealed a significantly elevated risk of recurrence in the group with ≥20 dissected nodes in comparison to those with <20 nodes (adjusted HR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.003 to 2.087).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The number of dissected lymph nodes was significantly associated with the risk of postoperative recurrence of NSCLC. The risk of recurrence is minimised when approximately 10 nodes are dissected but may increase when >20 nodes are removed. Limiting lymph node dissection to approximately 20 nodes may help to preserve a favourable antitumour immune environment. These findings provide novel insights into the optimisation of lymph node dissection during lung cancer surgery.</p>","PeriodicalId":9048,"journal":{"name":"BMJ Open Respiratory Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11429344/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes on machine learning-based prediction of postoperative lung cancer recurrence: a single-hospital retrospective cohort study.\",\"authors\":\"Kensuke Kojima, Hironobu Samejima, Kyoichi Okishio, Toshiteru Tokunaga, Hyungeun Yoon, Shinji Atagi\",\"doi\":\"10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001926\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The optimal number of lymph nodes to be dissected during lung cancer surgery to minimise the postoperative recurrence risk remains undetermined. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes on the risk of postoperative recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using machine learning algorithms and statistical analyses.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We retrospectively analysed 650 patients with NSCLC who underwent complete resection. Five machine learning models were trained using clinicopathological variables to predict postoperative recurrence. The relationship between the number of dissected lymph nodes and postoperative recurrence was investigated in the best-performing model using Shapley additive explanations values and partial dependence plots. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the HR for postoperative recurrence based on the number of dissected nodes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The random forest model demonstrated superior predictive performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.92, accuracy: 0.83, F1 score: 0.64). The partial dependence plot of this model revealed a non-linear dependence of the number of dissected lymph nodes on recurrence prediction within the range of 0-20 nodes, with the weakest dependence at 10 nodes. A linear increase in the dependence was observed for ≥20 dissected nodes. A multivariable analysis revealed a significantly elevated risk of recurrence in the group with ≥20 dissected nodes in comparison to those with <20 nodes (adjusted HR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.003 to 2.087).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The number of dissected lymph nodes was significantly associated with the risk of postoperative recurrence of NSCLC. The risk of recurrence is minimised when approximately 10 nodes are dissected but may increase when >20 nodes are removed. Limiting lymph node dissection to approximately 20 nodes may help to preserve a favourable antitumour immune environment. These findings provide novel insights into the optimisation of lymph node dissection during lung cancer surgery.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":9048,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"BMJ Open Respiratory Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11429344/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"BMJ Open Respiratory Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001926\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"RESPIRATORY SYSTEM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"BMJ Open Respiratory Research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001926","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"RESPIRATORY SYSTEM","Score":null,"Total":0}
Impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes on machine learning-based prediction of postoperative lung cancer recurrence: a single-hospital retrospective cohort study.
Background: The optimal number of lymph nodes to be dissected during lung cancer surgery to minimise the postoperative recurrence risk remains undetermined. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes on the risk of postoperative recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using machine learning algorithms and statistical analyses.
Methods: We retrospectively analysed 650 patients with NSCLC who underwent complete resection. Five machine learning models were trained using clinicopathological variables to predict postoperative recurrence. The relationship between the number of dissected lymph nodes and postoperative recurrence was investigated in the best-performing model using Shapley additive explanations values and partial dependence plots. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the HR for postoperative recurrence based on the number of dissected nodes.
Results: The random forest model demonstrated superior predictive performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.92, accuracy: 0.83, F1 score: 0.64). The partial dependence plot of this model revealed a non-linear dependence of the number of dissected lymph nodes on recurrence prediction within the range of 0-20 nodes, with the weakest dependence at 10 nodes. A linear increase in the dependence was observed for ≥20 dissected nodes. A multivariable analysis revealed a significantly elevated risk of recurrence in the group with ≥20 dissected nodes in comparison to those with <20 nodes (adjusted HR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.003 to 2.087).
Conclusions: The number of dissected lymph nodes was significantly associated with the risk of postoperative recurrence of NSCLC. The risk of recurrence is minimised when approximately 10 nodes are dissected but may increase when >20 nodes are removed. Limiting lymph node dissection to approximately 20 nodes may help to preserve a favourable antitumour immune environment. These findings provide novel insights into the optimisation of lymph node dissection during lung cancer surgery.
期刊介绍:
BMJ Open Respiratory Research is a peer-reviewed, open access journal publishing respiratory and critical care medicine. It is the sister journal to Thorax and co-owned by the British Thoracic Society and BMJ. The journal focuses on robustness of methodology and scientific rigour with less emphasis on novelty or perceived impact. BMJ Open Respiratory Research operates a rapid review process, with continuous publication online, ensuring timely, up-to-date research is available worldwide. The journal publishes review articles and all research study types: Basic science including laboratory based experiments and animal models, Pilot studies or proof of concept, Observational studies, Study protocols, Registries, Clinical trials from phase I to multicentre randomised clinical trials, Systematic reviews and meta-analyses.