Spatiotemporal analysis of land use and land cover changes, LST and NDVI in Thatta district, Sindh, Pakistan

The purpose of this work is to determine land-use and land-cover (LULC) patterns, land surface temperature (LST), and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) changes in Thatta district using Landsat data from 1991 to 2021 and evaluate the relationship between LST and NDVI. The research process employed the selection of the study area, data acquisition, preprocessing, and classification of remotely sensed images for the estimation of the land use land cover change (LULC), vegetation index (NDVI), and evaluation of LST using thermal bands in the Landsat dataset. The study revealed the area under built-up structures has increased from 1991 to 2021. Although the vegetation cover showed an increase, the bare soil showed a decreasing pattern, indicating a constant change in the LULC patterns in the region. The confusion matrix method for accuracy valuation of LULC data of 2021 revealed an overall accuracy of 88.24%, with a Kappa coefficient of 84.22%, while the Artificial Neural Network Multilayer Perceptron (ANN-MLP) model had a Kappa validation of 0.95 for 2021. The highest maximum temperature is observed for 2021, indicating a positive relationship between LST and built-up structures, while regression analysis found a negative correlation between LST and NDVI. This study provides a valuable monitoring framework to help resource managers develop strategies to manage land resources.