中国汽车的采用和向电动汽车的转变：挪威的早期证据

IF 6.3 2区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI:10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.012

Johannes Mauritzen

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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国汽车制造商已开始向发达国家市场出口电动汽车。我研究了世界领先的电动汽车市场挪威的数据，为中国品牌新车的销售模式提供了一些早期的描述性证据。利用贝叶斯多层次回归模型，我发现了当地同行效应的证据：在一个邮政编码中，中国品牌汽车的销售比例越高，新车销售为中国品牌的可能性就越大。我还假设，电动汽车普及率高的城市与中国品牌新车销售普及率高相关。我没有找到相关证据。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Adoption of Chinese cars and the shift to electric vehicles: Early evidence from Norway

Chinese auto manufacturers have started exporting electric cars to developed markets. I study data from the world’s leading market for electric vehicles, Norway, to provide some early descriptive evidence on the patterns of Chinese-brand new car sales. Using a Bayesian multilevel regression model, I find evidence of local peer effects: A higher proportion of sales of a Chinese branded car in a postal code increases the probability of a new car sale being Chinese. I also hypothesize that municipalities with high penetrations of electric cars will be associated with higher penetrations of Chinese-branded new car sales. I do not find evidence for this.

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来源期刊

Transport Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

12.10

自引率

10.30%

发文量

282

期刊介绍： Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.