项目组合网络风险传播建模:风险认知视角

IF 4.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
Libiao Bai;Chenshuo Wang;Yichen Sun;Xiaoyan Xie;Tiantian Tang;Qi Xie
{"title":"项目组合网络风险传播建模:风险认知视角","authors":"Libiao Bai;Chenshuo Wang;Yichen Sun;Xiaoyan Xie;Tiantian Tang;Qi Xie","doi":"10.1109/TEM.2024.3455310","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Risks and resulting propagating accidents pose considerable threats to the stability of project portfolio network (PPN). To maintain PPN stability, a PPN risk propagation model considering risk perception is constructed. First, a PPN is developed to concurrently visualize the risk propagation paths and the risk perception diffusion paths. Second, modifications to the disaster spreading model are made to construct the PPN risk propagation model supporting more realistic simulations. The model is then applied to numerical simulations, yielding risk propagation mitigation measures. The results suggest that risk mitigation is facilitated by increased trust among project managers, moderate differences in initial project manager risk perceptions, a homogeneous PPN topology, and a tendency to allocate recovery resources based on node degree centrality. These findings guide enterprise administrators in risk decision-making, contributing to stable PPN operations.","PeriodicalId":55009,"journal":{"name":"IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management","volume":"71 ","pages":"14608-14620"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Project Portfolio Network Risk Propagation Modeling: A Risk Perception Perspective\",\"authors\":\"Libiao Bai;Chenshuo Wang;Yichen Sun;Xiaoyan Xie;Tiantian Tang;Qi Xie\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/TEM.2024.3455310\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Risks and resulting propagating accidents pose considerable threats to the stability of project portfolio network (PPN). To maintain PPN stability, a PPN risk propagation model considering risk perception is constructed. First, a PPN is developed to concurrently visualize the risk propagation paths and the risk perception diffusion paths. Second, modifications to the disaster spreading model are made to construct the PPN risk propagation model supporting more realistic simulations. The model is then applied to numerical simulations, yielding risk propagation mitigation measures. The results suggest that risk mitigation is facilitated by increased trust among project managers, moderate differences in initial project manager risk perceptions, a homogeneous PPN topology, and a tendency to allocate recovery resources based on node degree centrality. These findings guide enterprise administrators in risk decision-making, contributing to stable PPN operations.\",\"PeriodicalId\":55009,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management\",\"volume\":\"71 \",\"pages\":\"14608-14620\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10667667/\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10667667/","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

风险和由此产生的传播事故对项目组合网络(PPN)的稳定性构成了相当大的威胁。为保持项目组合网络的稳定性,本文构建了一个考虑风险认知的项目组合网络风险传播模型。首先,建立一个 PPN,使风险传播路径和风险认知扩散路径同时可视化。其次,对灾害传播模型进行修改,以构建支持更真实模拟的 PPN 风险传播模型。然后,将该模型应用于数值模拟,得出风险传播缓解措施。结果表明,项目经理之间的信任度增加、项目经理初始风险认知的适度差异、同质的 PPN 拓扑以及根据节点度中心性分配恢复资源的趋势,都有利于风险缓解。这些发现为企业管理人员的风险决策提供了指导,有助于 PPN 的稳定运行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Project Portfolio Network Risk Propagation Modeling: A Risk Perception Perspective
Risks and resulting propagating accidents pose considerable threats to the stability of project portfolio network (PPN). To maintain PPN stability, a PPN risk propagation model considering risk perception is constructed. First, a PPN is developed to concurrently visualize the risk propagation paths and the risk perception diffusion paths. Second, modifications to the disaster spreading model are made to construct the PPN risk propagation model supporting more realistic simulations. The model is then applied to numerical simulations, yielding risk propagation mitigation measures. The results suggest that risk mitigation is facilitated by increased trust among project managers, moderate differences in initial project manager risk perceptions, a homogeneous PPN topology, and a tendency to allocate recovery resources based on node degree centrality. These findings guide enterprise administrators in risk decision-making, contributing to stable PPN operations.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management
IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
19.00%
发文量
604
审稿时长
5.3 months
期刊介绍: Management of technical functions such as research, development, and engineering in industry, government, university, and other settings. Emphasis is on studies carried on within an organization to help in decision making or policy formation for RD&E.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信