通过风险承担渠道制定货币政策：新兴市场的证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI:10.1016/j.qref.2024.101923

Felipe Vieira Passos , Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez , Paulo Roberto Amorim Loureiro

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了 2003 至 2021 年间国内和国际货币政策对巴西银行风险承担行为的影响。利用动态面板模型和宏观经济数据，我们发现利率与银行的风险承担之间存在负相关关系。较低的利率会增加风险活动，表现为扩大信贷、同业存款、风险敞口、准备金和杠杆率。这种关系与国际利率的关系更为密切，凸显了全球货币政策的重要作用。我们的分析还区分了次贷危机和 Covid-19 危机的影响，显示了这些事件以及银行的具体特征和宏观经济条件是如何影响风险承担的。本研究为新兴市场背景下货币政策、金融危机和银行特定因素之间的相互作用提供了细致入微的见解。

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Monetary policy through the risk-taking channel: Evidence from an emerging market

This paper examines the influence of domestic and international monetary policies on the risk-taking behavior of Brazilian banks from 2003 to 2021. Using a dynamic panel model and macroeconomic data, we find a negative correlation between interest rates and banks' risk-taking. Lower interest rates heighten risk activities, evidenced by expanded credit, interbank deposits, risk exposure, provisions, and leverage. The relationship is stronger with international rates, highlighting global monetary policy's significant role. Our analysis also distinguishes the impacts of the subprime and Covid-19 crises, showing how these events, along with bank-specific characteristics and macroeconomic conditions, affect risk-taking. This study provides nuanced insights into the interplay between monetary policy, financial crises, and bank-specific factors in an emerging market context.

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来源期刊

Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

6.00

自引率

2.90%

发文量

118

期刊介绍： The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (QREF) attracts and publishes high quality manuscripts that cover topics in the areas of economics, financial economics and finance. The subject matter may be theoretical, empirical or policy related. Emphasis is placed on quality, originality, clear arguments, persuasive evidence, intelligent analysis and clear writing. At least one Special Issue is published per year. These issues have guest editors, are devoted to a single theme and the papers have well known authors. In addition we pride ourselves in being able to provide three to four article "Focus" sections in most of our issues.