分析燃料转换对环境的影响：ARDL 分析为政策考虑提供的证据

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI:10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100317

Mohd Shahidan Shaari , Noorazeela Zainol Abidin , Miguel Angel Esquivias , Mohd Juraij Abd Rani , Temitayo Blessing Majekodunmi , Amri Sulong

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引用次数: 0

摘要

二氧化碳含量的增加导致全球气温上升，这是一个亟待解决的问题。由于资源限制，马来西亚等发展中国家在过渡到清洁能源方面面临挑战，因此天然气成为重要的过渡解决方案。本研究引入了燃料转换变量，以分析燃料消费模式的转变对二氧化碳的影响。利用 1980 年至 2020 年的数据和 ARDL 模型，研究结果表明，相对于石油和煤炭，推广天然气的政策减少了二氧化碳排放量，而经济和人口增长则增加了排放量。政策制定者应激励燃料转换、执行能效标准并投资于新技术。

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Analyzing the environmental impact of fuel switching: Evidence from ARDL analysis for policy considerations

The rise in global temperatures, driven by increased CO2 levels, is a pressing concern. Developing nations like Malaysia face challenges in transitioning to cleaner energy due to resource constraints, making natural gas a crucial transitional solution. This study introduces the Fuel Switch Variable to analyze the impact of shifting fuel consumption patterns on CO2. Using data from 1980 to 2020 and the ARDL model, findings show that policies promoting natural gas over oil and coal reduce CO2 emissions, while economic and population growth increase emissions. Policymakers should incentivize fuel switching, enforce energy efficiency standards, and invest in new technologies.

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来源期刊

Sustainable Futures Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

9.30

自引率

1.80%

发文量

审稿时长

71 days

期刊介绍： Sustainable Futures: is a journal focused on the intersection of sustainability, environment and technology from various disciplines in social sciences, and their larger implications for corporation, government, education institutions, regions and society both at present and in the future. It provides an advanced platform for studies related to sustainability and sustainable development in society, economics, environment, and culture. The scope of the journal is broad and encourages interdisciplinary research, as well as welcoming theoretical and practical research from all methodological approaches.