Sung Won Chung, Min Kyung Park, Xiao Zhang, Tongtong Wang, Thomas Jemielita, Gail Fernandes, Samuel S Engel, Heejoon Jang, Yun Bin Lee, Eun Ju Cho, Jeong-Hoon Lee, Su Jong Yu, Jung-Hwan Yoon, Yoon Jun Kim
{"title":"韩国非酒精性脂肪肝长期预后的时变无创评分预测价值。","authors":"Sung Won Chung, Min Kyung Park, Xiao Zhang, Tongtong Wang, Thomas Jemielita, Gail Fernandes, Samuel S Engel, Heejoon Jang, Yun Bin Lee, Eun Ju Cho, Jeong-Hoon Lee, Su Jong Yu, Jung-Hwan Yoon, Yoon Jun Kim","doi":"10.1155/2024/5667986","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>This study aimed to examine whether repeated measurements on noninvasive fibrosis scores during follow-up improve long-term nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) outcome prediction.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort study of 2,280 NAFLD patients diagnosed at the Seoul National University Hospital from 2001 to 2015 was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models with baseline and designated time-point measurements of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were used to assess the association between these scores and overall mortality, liver-related outcomes, and cardiovascular events.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Higher baseline NFS (high versus low probability for advanced fibrosis groups) was associated with higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), (95% confidence interval (CI)), 2.80, [1.39-5.63]) and liver-related outcomes (3.70, [1.27-10.78]). Similar findings were observed for the association of baseline FIB-4 with mortality (2.49, [1.46-4.24]) and liver-related outcomes (11.50, [6.17-21.44]). In models considering designated time-point measurements of the scores, stronger associations were noted. For NFS, a higher time-point measurement was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (3.01, [1.65-5.49]) and liver-related outcomes (6.69, [2.62-17.06]). For FIB-4, higher time-point measurements were associated with significantly higher mortality (3.01, [1.88-4.82]) and liver-related outcomes (13.26, [6.89-25.53]). An annual increase in FIB-4 (2.70, [1.79-4.05]) or NFS (4.68, [1.52-14.44]) was associated with an increased risk of liver-related outcomes. No association between NFS/FIB-4 and risk of cardiovascular events was observed in both models.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Higher aHRs describing the associations of FIB-4/NFS with overall mortality and liver-related outcomes were observed in the models that included designated time-point measurements of the scores. In addition to the baseline measurement, a routine monitoring on these scores may be important in predicting prognosis of NAFLD patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":48755,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology","volume":"2024 ","pages":"5667986"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11419836/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Predictive Value of Time-Varying Noninvasive Scores on Long-Term Prognosis of NAFLD in South Korea.\",\"authors\":\"Sung Won Chung, Min Kyung Park, Xiao Zhang, Tongtong Wang, Thomas Jemielita, Gail Fernandes, Samuel S Engel, Heejoon Jang, Yun Bin Lee, Eun Ju Cho, Jeong-Hoon Lee, Su Jong Yu, Jung-Hwan Yoon, Yoon Jun Kim\",\"doi\":\"10.1155/2024/5667986\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>This study aimed to examine whether repeated measurements on noninvasive fibrosis scores during follow-up improve long-term nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) outcome prediction.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort study of 2,280 NAFLD patients diagnosed at the Seoul National University Hospital from 2001 to 2015 was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models with baseline and designated time-point measurements of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were used to assess the association between these scores and overall mortality, liver-related outcomes, and cardiovascular events.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Higher baseline NFS (high versus low probability for advanced fibrosis groups) was associated with higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), (95% confidence interval (CI)), 2.80, [1.39-5.63]) and liver-related outcomes (3.70, [1.27-10.78]). Similar findings were observed for the association of baseline FIB-4 with mortality (2.49, [1.46-4.24]) and liver-related outcomes (11.50, [6.17-21.44]). In models considering designated time-point measurements of the scores, stronger associations were noted. For NFS, a higher time-point measurement was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (3.01, [1.65-5.49]) and liver-related outcomes (6.69, [2.62-17.06]). For FIB-4, higher time-point measurements were associated with significantly higher mortality (3.01, [1.88-4.82]) and liver-related outcomes (13.26, [6.89-25.53]). An annual increase in FIB-4 (2.70, [1.79-4.05]) or NFS (4.68, [1.52-14.44]) was associated with an increased risk of liver-related outcomes. No association between NFS/FIB-4 and risk of cardiovascular events was observed in both models.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Higher aHRs describing the associations of FIB-4/NFS with overall mortality and liver-related outcomes were observed in the models that included designated time-point measurements of the scores. In addition to the baseline measurement, a routine monitoring on these scores may be important in predicting prognosis of NAFLD patients.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48755,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology\",\"volume\":\"2024 \",\"pages\":\"5667986\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11419836/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/5667986\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"Medicine\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/5667986","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Predictive Value of Time-Varying Noninvasive Scores on Long-Term Prognosis of NAFLD in South Korea.
Background: This study aimed to examine whether repeated measurements on noninvasive fibrosis scores during follow-up improve long-term nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) outcome prediction.
Methods: A cohort study of 2,280 NAFLD patients diagnosed at the Seoul National University Hospital from 2001 to 2015 was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models with baseline and designated time-point measurements of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were used to assess the association between these scores and overall mortality, liver-related outcomes, and cardiovascular events.
Results: Higher baseline NFS (high versus low probability for advanced fibrosis groups) was associated with higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), (95% confidence interval (CI)), 2.80, [1.39-5.63]) and liver-related outcomes (3.70, [1.27-10.78]). Similar findings were observed for the association of baseline FIB-4 with mortality (2.49, [1.46-4.24]) and liver-related outcomes (11.50, [6.17-21.44]). In models considering designated time-point measurements of the scores, stronger associations were noted. For NFS, a higher time-point measurement was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (3.01, [1.65-5.49]) and liver-related outcomes (6.69, [2.62-17.06]). For FIB-4, higher time-point measurements were associated with significantly higher mortality (3.01, [1.88-4.82]) and liver-related outcomes (13.26, [6.89-25.53]). An annual increase in FIB-4 (2.70, [1.79-4.05]) or NFS (4.68, [1.52-14.44]) was associated with an increased risk of liver-related outcomes. No association between NFS/FIB-4 and risk of cardiovascular events was observed in both models.
Conclusions: Higher aHRs describing the associations of FIB-4/NFS with overall mortality and liver-related outcomes were observed in the models that included designated time-point measurements of the scores. In addition to the baseline measurement, a routine monitoring on these scores may be important in predicting prognosis of NAFLD patients.
期刊介绍：
Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology is a peer-reviewed, open access journal that publishes original research articles, review articles, and clinical studies in all areas of gastroenterology and liver disease - medicine and surgery.
The Canadian Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology is sponsored by the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology and the Canadian Association for the Study of the Liver.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
