VTNet:用于灌溉水位长期多变量时间序列预测的多域信息融合模型

IF 7.2 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Rui Dai , Zheng Wang , Wanliang Wang , Jing Jie , Jiacheng Chen , Qianlin Ye
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引用次数: 0

摘要

时间序列预测与生产和生活息息相关,长期以来受到广泛关注。提高长期多变量时间序列预测(MTSF)的性能是一项极具挑战性的任务,因为它需要从多个方面挖掘复杂而模糊的时间模式。为此,本文提出了一种基于多域融合(VTNet)的长期预测模型,以适应性地捕捉和完善多尺度变量内和变量间的依赖关系。与以往的技术不同,我们设计了一种双流学习架构。首先,采用快速傅立叶变换(FFT)提取频域信息。然后,将原始序列转换为时频域的二维视觉特征,并设计了一个二维-TBlock,用于多尺度动态学习。其次,结合卷积和递归网络,继续探索局部时域特征并保持全局趋势。最后,多模态环流融合实现了更全面、更丰富的特征融合表示,进一步提高了整体性能。我们在 9 个公共基准数据集和现实世界的灌溉水位上进行了广泛的实验,以展示 VTNet 所提升的性能和泛化能力。此外,VTNet 在水位预测方面分别获得了 46.93% 和 25.36% 的相对改进,揭示了其在节水规划和极端事件预警方面的潜在应用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VTNet: A multi-domain information fusion model for long-term multi-variate time series forecasting with application in irrigation water level

Time series forecasting is intricately tied to production and life, garnering widespread attention over an extended period. Enhancing the performance of long-term multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) poses a highly challenging task, as it requires mining complicated and obscure temporal patterns in many aspects. For this reason, this paper proposes a long-term forecasting model based on multi-domain fusion (VTNet) to adaptively capture and refine multi-scale intra- and inter-variate dependencies. In contrast to previous techniques, we devise a dual-stream learning architecture. Firstly, the fast Fourier Transform (FFT) is adopted to extract frequency domain information. The original sequences are then transformed into 2D visual features in the temporal-frequency domain, and a 2D-TBlock is designed for multi-scale dynamic learning. Secondly, a combination of convolution and recurrent networks continues to explore the local temporal features and preserve the global trend. Finally, multi-modal circulant fusion is applied to achieve a more comprehensive and enriched feature fusion representation, further promoting overall performance. Extensive experiments are conducted on 9 public benchmark datasets and the real-world irrigation water level to showcase VTNet’s promoted performance and generalization. Moreover, VTNet yields 46.93% and 25.36% relative improvements for water level forecasting, revealing its potential application value in water-saving planning and extreme event early warning.

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来源期刊
Applied Soft Computing
Applied Soft Computing 工程技术-计算机:跨学科应用
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
6.90%
发文量
874
审稿时长
10.9 months
期刊介绍: Applied Soft Computing is an international journal promoting an integrated view of soft computing to solve real life problems.The focus is to publish the highest quality research in application and convergence of the areas of Fuzzy Logic, Neural Networks, Evolutionary Computing, Rough Sets and other similar techniques to address real world complexities. Applied Soft Computing is a rolling publication: articles are published as soon as the editor-in-chief has accepted them. Therefore, the web site will continuously be updated with new articles and the publication time will be short.
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