Hollie Black, David Young, Alexander Rogers, Jenny Montgomery
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Machine Learning in Clinical Diagnosis of Head and Neck Cancer
Objective
Machine learning has been effective in other areas of medicine, this study aims to investigate this with regards to HNC and identify which algorithm works best to classify malignant patients.
Design
An observational cohort study.
Setting
Queen Elizabeth University Hospital.
Participants
Patients who were referred via the USOC pathway between January 2019 and May 2021.
Main Outcome Measures
Predicting the diagnosis of patients from three categories, benign, potential malignant and malignant, using demographics and symptoms data.
Results
The classic statistical method of ordinal logistic regression worked best on the data, achieving an AUC of 0.6697 and balanced accuracy of 0.641. The demographic features describing recreational drug use history and living situation were the most important variables alongside the red flag symptom of a neck lump.
Conclusion
Further studies should aim to collect larger samples of malignant and pre-malignant patients to improve the class imbalance and increase the performance of the machine learning models.
期刊介绍:
Clinical Otolaryngology is a bimonthly journal devoted to clinically-oriented research papers of the highest scientific standards dealing with:
current otorhinolaryngological practice
audiology, otology, balance, rhinology, larynx, voice and paediatric ORL
head and neck oncology
head and neck plastic and reconstructive surgery
continuing medical education and ORL training
The emphasis is on high quality new work in the clinical field and on fresh, original research.
Each issue begins with an editorial expressing the personal opinions of an individual with a particular knowledge of a chosen subject. The main body of each issue is then devoted to original papers carrying important results for those working in the field. In addition, topical review articles are published discussing a particular subject in depth, including not only the opinions of the author but also any controversies surrounding the subject.
• Negative/null results
In order for research to advance, negative results, which often make a valuable contribution to the field, should be published. However, articles containing negative or null results are frequently not considered for publication or rejected by journals. We welcome papers of this kind, where appropriate and valid power calculations are included that give confidence that a negative result can be relied upon.