Estelle Méroc, Caihua Liang, Raffaella Iantomasi, Chukwuemeka Onwuchekwa, Giuseppe Pietro Innocenti, Daniela d’Angela, Solomon Molalign, Thao Mai Phuong Tran, Somsuvro Basu, Bradford D. Gessner, Robin Bruyndonckx, Aleksandra Polkowska-Kramek, Elizabeth Begier
{"title":"基于模型的 2015 年至 2019 年意大利 RSV 引起的住院和死亡发生率估计","authors":"Estelle Méroc, Caihua Liang, Raffaella Iantomasi, Chukwuemeka Onwuchekwa, Giuseppe Pietro Innocenti, Daniela d’Angela, Solomon Molalign, Thao Mai Phuong Tran, Somsuvro Basu, Bradford D. Gessner, Robin Bruyndonckx, Aleksandra Polkowska-Kramek, Elizabeth Begier","doi":"10.1007/s40121-024-01041-x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Introduction</h3><p>Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) incidence is known to be underestimated in adults due to its infrequent diagnostic testing and lower sensitivity of single nasal/nasopharyngeal swab PCR testing outside of the early childhood period. RSV can trigger acute cardiac events as well as cause respiratory disease. Consequently, we used a model-based study to estimate RSV-attributable hospitalization and mortality incidence among adults in Italy between 2015 and 2019.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Methods</h3><p>Through a database predisposed by CREA Sanità, by extracting monthly data from the Italian hospitalization collection data of the Ministry of Health and the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) data (mortality), we estimated yearly RSV-attributable incidence of events for different cardiorespiratory outcomes. We used a quasi-Poisson regression model, which accounted for periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity proxies.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Results</h3><p>The yearly RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization incidence increased with age and was highest among adults aged ≥ 75 years (1064–1527 cases per 100,000 person-years). Similarly, the RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory mortality rate was highest among persons aged ≥ 75 years (59–85 deaths per 100,000 person-years). Incidence rates for RSV-attributable hospitalizations and RSV-attributable mortality were on average 2–3 times higher for cardiorespiratory than respiratory disease alone. Incidence rate based on RSV-specific ICD codes only were 405–1729 times lower than modeled estimates accounting for untested events.</p><h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Conclusion</h3><p>RSV causes a substantial disease burden among adults in Italy and contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular conditions. Our results emphasize the need for effective RSV prevention strategies, particularly among older adults.</p>","PeriodicalId":13592,"journal":{"name":"Infectious Diseases and Therapy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Model-Based Estimation of RSV-Attributable Incidence of Hospitalizations and Deaths in Italy Between 2015 and 2019\",\"authors\":\"Estelle Méroc, Caihua Liang, Raffaella Iantomasi, Chukwuemeka Onwuchekwa, Giuseppe Pietro Innocenti, Daniela d’Angela, Solomon Molalign, Thao Mai Phuong Tran, Somsuvro Basu, Bradford D. Gessner, Robin Bruyndonckx, Aleksandra Polkowska-Kramek, Elizabeth Begier\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s40121-024-01041-x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<h3 data-test=\\\"abstract-sub-heading\\\">Introduction</h3><p>Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) incidence is known to be underestimated in adults due to its infrequent diagnostic testing and lower sensitivity of single nasal/nasopharyngeal swab PCR testing outside of the early childhood period. RSV can trigger acute cardiac events as well as cause respiratory disease. Consequently, we used a model-based study to estimate RSV-attributable hospitalization and mortality incidence among adults in Italy between 2015 and 2019.</p><h3 data-test=\\\"abstract-sub-heading\\\">Methods</h3><p>Through a database predisposed by CREA Sanità, by extracting monthly data from the Italian hospitalization collection data of the Ministry of Health and the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) data (mortality), we estimated yearly RSV-attributable incidence of events for different cardiorespiratory outcomes. We used a quasi-Poisson regression model, which accounted for periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity proxies.</p><h3 data-test=\\\"abstract-sub-heading\\\">Results</h3><p>The yearly RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization incidence increased with age and was highest among adults aged ≥ 75 years (1064–1527 cases per 100,000 person-years). Similarly, the RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory mortality rate was highest among persons aged ≥ 75 years (59–85 deaths per 100,000 person-years). Incidence rates for RSV-attributable hospitalizations and RSV-attributable mortality were on average 2–3 times higher for cardiorespiratory than respiratory disease alone. Incidence rate based on RSV-specific ICD codes only were 405–1729 times lower than modeled estimates accounting for untested events.</p><h3 data-test=\\\"abstract-sub-heading\\\">Conclusion</h3><p>RSV causes a substantial disease burden among adults in Italy and contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular conditions. Our results emphasize the need for effective RSV prevention strategies, particularly among older adults.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":13592,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Infectious Diseases and Therapy\",\"volume\":\"3 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Infectious Diseases and Therapy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40121-024-01041-x\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"INFECTIOUS DISEASES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Infectious Diseases and Therapy","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40121-024-01041-x","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"INFECTIOUS DISEASES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Model-Based Estimation of RSV-Attributable Incidence of Hospitalizations and Deaths in Italy Between 2015 and 2019
Introduction
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) incidence is known to be underestimated in adults due to its infrequent diagnostic testing and lower sensitivity of single nasal/nasopharyngeal swab PCR testing outside of the early childhood period. RSV can trigger acute cardiac events as well as cause respiratory disease. Consequently, we used a model-based study to estimate RSV-attributable hospitalization and mortality incidence among adults in Italy between 2015 and 2019.
Methods
Through a database predisposed by CREA Sanità, by extracting monthly data from the Italian hospitalization collection data of the Ministry of Health and the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) data (mortality), we estimated yearly RSV-attributable incidence of events for different cardiorespiratory outcomes. We used a quasi-Poisson regression model, which accounted for periodic and aperiodic time trends and viral activity proxies.
Results
The yearly RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory hospitalization incidence increased with age and was highest among adults aged ≥ 75 years (1064–1527 cases per 100,000 person-years). Similarly, the RSV-attributable cardiorespiratory mortality rate was highest among persons aged ≥ 75 years (59–85 deaths per 100,000 person-years). Incidence rates for RSV-attributable hospitalizations and RSV-attributable mortality were on average 2–3 times higher for cardiorespiratory than respiratory disease alone. Incidence rate based on RSV-specific ICD codes only were 405–1729 times lower than modeled estimates accounting for untested events.
Conclusion
RSV causes a substantial disease burden among adults in Italy and contributes to both respiratory and cardiovascular conditions. Our results emphasize the need for effective RSV prevention strategies, particularly among older adults.
期刊介绍:
Infectious Diseases and Therapy is an international, open access, peer-reviewed, rapid publication journal dedicated to the publication of high-quality clinical (all phases), observational, real-world, and health outcomes research around the discovery, development, and use of infectious disease therapies and interventions, including vaccines and devices. Studies relating to diagnostic products and diagnosis, pharmacoeconomics, public health, epidemiology, quality of life, and patient care, management, and education are also encouraged.
Areas of focus include, but are not limited to, bacterial and fungal infections, viral infections (including HIV/AIDS and hepatitis), parasitological diseases, tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases, vaccinations and other interventions, and drug-resistance, chronic infections, epidemiology and tropical, emergent, pediatric, dermal and sexually-transmitted diseases.