社区规模高温暴雨内涝灾害风险评估:北京东四社区案例研究

IF 2.5 4区 地球科学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Atmosphere Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI:10.3390/atmos15091132
Pei Xing, Ruozi Yang, Wupeng Du, Ya Gao, Chunyi Xuan, Jiayi Zhang, Jun Wang, Mengxin Bai, Bing Dang, Feilin Xiong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市化进程的推进和全球变暖的加速,极端天气和气候事件日益频繁和严重,气候风险持续上升。每个社区在应对极端气候风险、提高城市抗灾能力方面都具有不可替代的重要作用。本研究以北京市功能核心区的东四社区为研究对象,在社区尺度上开展高温和暴雨内涝风险评估。在传统灾害风险评估的理论框架中融入了当地的导航观测数据。从微观角度建立并完善了社区尺度高温和暴雨内涝灾害风险评估指标体系(从危害性、暴露性和脆弱性三个维度共选取了 22 个指标)。利用地理信息系统(GIS)技术,整合地理信息、气象、规划、市政、社会经济等多源信息层,从而获得社区范围内高温暴雨内涝灾害的危害性、暴露性、脆弱性和风险水平等更详细的空间分布特征。结果显示,高温灾害的高风险区和轻微高风险区分别占 13.5%和 15.1%。暴雨内涝灾害高风险区和轻度高风险区分别占 9.8%和 31.6%。常见的高温内涝高风险区占 3.9%。总体而言,高温和暴雨内涝灾害风险在群落尺度上表现出明显的空间不平衡性,即东四三条中段一带风险最低,其他地区均有一定程度的高温或暴雨内涝。特别是东四北大街沿线、东四六条周边地区、东四九条沿线部分地区高温和暴雨内涝灾害风险相对较高。这些空间差异在更大程度上受到社区内土地覆盖(建筑、植被等)和人口密度的影响。本研究是气候风险研究对弹性社区建设的有益探索,为气候适应型社区的规划以及社区层面总体适应目标、行动框架和具体规划策略的提出提供了科学支撑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk Assessment of Community-Scale High-Temperature and Rainstorm Waterlogging Disasters: A Case Study of the Dongsi Community in Beijing
With the advancement of urbanization and acceleration of global warming, extreme weather and climate events are becoming increasingly frequent and severe, and climate risk continues to rise. Each community is irreplaceable and important in coping with extreme climate risk and improving urban resilience. In this study, the Dongsi Community in the functional core area of Beijing was explored, and the risk assessment of high temperatures and rainstorm waterlogging was implemented at the community scale. Local navigation observations were integrated into a theoretical framework for traditional disaster risk assessment. The risk assessment indicator system for community-scale high-temperature and rainstorm waterlogging disasters was established and improved from a microscopic perspective (a total of 22 indicators were selected from the three dimensions of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability). Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology was used to integrate geographic information, meteorological, planning, municipal, socioeconomic and other multisource information layers, thus enabling more detailed spatial distribution characteristics of the hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and risk levels of community-scale high temperatures and rainstorm waterlogging to be obtained. The results revealed that the high-risk area and slightly high-risk area of high-temperature disasters accounted for 13.5% and 15.1%, respectively. The high-risk area and slightly high-risk area of rainstorm waterlogging disasters accounted for 9.8% and 31.6%, respectively. The high-risk areas common to high temperatures and waterlogging accounted for 3.9%. In general, the risk of high-temperature and rainstorm waterlogging disasters at the community scale showed obvious spatial imbalances; that is, the risk in the area around the middle section of Dongsi Santiao was the lowest, while a degree of high temperatures or rainstorm waterlogging was found in other areas. In particular, the risk of high-temperature and rainstorm waterlogging disasters along Dongsi North Street, the surrounding areas of Dongsi Liutiao, and some areas along the Dongsi Jiutiao route was relatively high. These spatial differences were affected to a greater extent by land cover (buildings, vegetation, etc.) and population density within the community. This study is a useful exploration of climate risk research for resilient community construction, and provides scientific support for the planning of climate-adaptive communities, as well as the proposal of overall adaptation goals, action frameworks, and specific planning strategies at the community level.
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来源期刊
Atmosphere
Atmosphere METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
13.80%
发文量
1769
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433) is an international and cross-disciplinary scholarly journal of scientific studies related to the atmosphere. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, communications and short notes, and there is no restriction on the length of the papers. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical research in as much detail as possible. Full experimental and/or methodical details must be provided for research articles.
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