{"title":"缺失学校毕业群体对培训市场的影响","authors":"Matthias Dorner , Katja Görlitz , Elke J. Jahn","doi":"10.1016/j.econedurev.2024.102580","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study analyzes whether the training market responds to a reduced supply of trainees by decreasing the number of hired trainees and increasing their wages based on administrative data. The empirical identification uses exogenous regional and time variation in the occurrence of a missing school graduation cohort that shifts the supply of potential trainees downwards. The results show that the missing cohort decreases new hires by 10 % and raises wages by 1 %. Further robustness results reveal that the opposite case of excess supply (that is caused by dual cohorts) increases hirings and decreases wages. Our results also document that high and low wage firms respond differently to the supply shocks. While only high wage firms stop hiring when labor supply decreases, it is the low wage firms who hire a larger number of trainees in case of excess supply.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775724000748/pdfft?md5=4956d13ab05ee45c56524bcc80deb20c&pid=1-s2.0-S0272775724000748-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The impact of a missing school graduation cohort on the training market\",\"authors\":\"Matthias Dorner , Katja Görlitz , Elke J. Jahn\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econedurev.2024.102580\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study analyzes whether the training market responds to a reduced supply of trainees by decreasing the number of hired trainees and increasing their wages based on administrative data. The empirical identification uses exogenous regional and time variation in the occurrence of a missing school graduation cohort that shifts the supply of potential trainees downwards. The results show that the missing cohort decreases new hires by 10 % and raises wages by 1 %. Further robustness results reveal that the opposite case of excess supply (that is caused by dual cohorts) increases hirings and decreases wages. Our results also document that high and low wage firms respond differently to the supply shocks. While only high wage firms stop hiring when labor supply decreases, it is the low wage firms who hire a larger number of trainees in case of excess supply.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":1,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":16.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775724000748/pdfft?md5=4956d13ab05ee45c56524bcc80deb20c&pid=1-s2.0-S0272775724000748-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775724000748\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"化学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272775724000748","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
The impact of a missing school graduation cohort on the training market
This study analyzes whether the training market responds to a reduced supply of trainees by decreasing the number of hired trainees and increasing their wages based on administrative data. The empirical identification uses exogenous regional and time variation in the occurrence of a missing school graduation cohort that shifts the supply of potential trainees downwards. The results show that the missing cohort decreases new hires by 10 % and raises wages by 1 %. Further robustness results reveal that the opposite case of excess supply (that is caused by dual cohorts) increases hirings and decreases wages. Our results also document that high and low wage firms respond differently to the supply shocks. While only high wage firms stop hiring when labor supply decreases, it is the low wage firms who hire a larger number of trainees in case of excess supply.
期刊介绍：
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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