小农的气候变化脆弱性和适应能力:融资缺口视角

IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Mathew Paul Ojo , Adeolu Babatunde Ayanwale , Olatundun Janet Adelegan , Osaihiomwan Ojogho , Durojaiye Eluwande Festus Awoyelu , Joseph Famodimu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着气候变化不断威胁全球粮食生产,小农越来越难以适应不断变化的气候条件、不断下降的生产力和有限的融资渠道。为了研究这些挑战,本研究采用多阶段方法收集尼日利亚西南部三个大蕉生产州的横截面数据,在每个州的 5 个地方政府辖区随机抽取 100 名农民,共计 300 名农民。采用两步随机前沿模型研究气候适应战略与大蕉生产率之间的关系,同时采用哈罗德-多尔马增长方程和多元 Probit 回归评估资金缺口及其对适应能力的影响。最后,福斯特-吉尔-特贝克(FGT)方程用于衡量农民对气候变化的脆弱性。研究结果表明,随着农民融资缺口的缩小,他们采用气候适应战略提高生产率的能力也随之提高。然而,80% 的农民在资金上容易受到气候变化的影响,其中 37% 的农民面临严重的资金限制。农民的脆弱性深度为 56%,这表明只要有 106.55 美元(脆弱性线 190.26 美元的 56%),许多农民的适应能力就能得到提高,从而将其脆弱性降至脆弱性线以下。本研究的方法为评估小农采取适应战略以提高生产率和增强抗灾能力的能力提供了一种全面的方法。提高小农应对气候变化挑战能力的其他政策措施固然重要,但优先考虑改善小农财务状况的行动也至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate change vulnerability and adaptive capacity of smallholder farmers: A financing gap perspective

With climate change continuously threatening global food production, smallholder farmers are increasingly struggling to adapt to changing climatic conditions, decreasing productivity, and limited access to finance. To examine these challenges, this study used cross-sectional data collected through a multi-stage approach across three plantain-producing states in southwest Nigeria, with 100 farmers randomly selected in 5 local government areas per state to give a total of 300 farmers. A two-step Stochastic Frontier model is used to examine the relationship between climate adaptation strategies and plantain productivity while the Harold-Dorma growth equation and Multivariate Probit regression are used to assess the financing gap and its effect on adaptive capacity. Finally, the Foster Geer-Thorbecke (FGT) equation is used to measure the vulnerability of farmers to climate change. Findings show that as the financing gap of the farmers decreases, their ability to adopt climate adaptation strategies to enhance their productivity increases. However, 80% of the farmers are financially vulnerable to climate change, with 37% facing severe financial constraints. The vulnerability depth for the farmers is 56%, indicating that with $106.55 (56% of the vulnerability line of $190.26), many farmers' adaptive capacity could be enhanced to reduce their vulnerability below the vulnerability line. This study's approach provides a comprehensive approach for assessing smallholder farmers' ability to adopt adaptation strategies that increase productivity and enhance resilience. While other policy measures to enhance smallholder farmers' ability to address the challenges of climate change are important, it is crucial to prioritise actions that improve the financial status of smallholders.

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来源期刊
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
2.30%
发文量
49
审稿时长
57 days
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