甲烷是 "气候罪魁祸首 "吗?修复 "破损的记录",同时揭露使用不精确的甲烷长期全球升温潜能值来应对气候紧急情况的危险性

Roger W. Bryenton, Farrukh A. Chishtie, Mujtaba Hassan, Tom Mommsen, Devyani Singh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

甲烷(CH4)是一种强效温室气体(GHG),在大气中的半衰期很短(约 8.4 年),对全球变暖的短期影响很大,明显高于二氧化碳(Kleinberg,2020 年;Balcombe 等人,2018 年)。传统的指标,如 100 年全球变暖潜能值(GWP100),掩盖了甲烷对气候的短期负面影响,可能导致不适当的政策响应(Kleinberg,2020 年)。这封信研究了 GWP100 在捕捉甲烷对气候的真实影响方面的局限性,探讨了替代指标,并讨论了少报甲烷排放量的影响。此外,我们希望在不久的将来,在 COP29 会议期间,政策制定者将采取行动,适当关注甲烷的短期变暖潜力,以大幅减少甲烷排放,解决当前的气候危机。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is methane the 'climate culprit'? Fixing the 'Broken Record' while unmasking the dangers of using imprecise, long-term GWP for methane to address the climate emergency
Methane (CH4) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG) with a short atmospheric half-life (~8.4 years) and a high short-term impact on global warming, significantly higher than CO2 (Kleinberg, 2020; Balcombe et al., 2018). Traditional metrics such as the 100-year Global Warming Potential (GWP100) obscure methane's short-term, negative climatic effects, potentially leading to inadequate policy responses (Kleinberg, 2020). This letter examines the limitations of GWP100 in capturing methane's true climate impact, explores alternative metrics, and discusses the implications of underreporting methane emissions. We highlight the necessity of adopting a more immediate perspective on methane to accelerate climate emergency action, while noting the adverse effects of the rapid growth rate of methane emissions on reduction efforts. Additionally, we hope that in the immediate future, during COP29, policymakers will adopt actions that give appropriate attention to methane's short-term warming potential to dramatically reduce emissions and address the immediate climate crisis.
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