Relationship between Vegetation and Soil Moisture Anomalies Based on Remote Sensing Data: A Semiarid Rangeland Case

The dynamic of rangelands results from complex interactions between vegetation, soil, climate, and human activity. This scenario makes rangeland’s condition challenging to monitor, and degradation assessment should be carefully considered when studying grazing pressures. In the present work, we study the interaction of vegetation and soil moisture in semiarid rangelands using vegetation and soil moisture indices. We aim to study the feasibility of using soil moisture negative anomalies as a warning index for vegetation or agricultural drought. Two semiarid agricultural regions were selected in Spain for this study: Los Vélez (Almería) and Bajo Aragón (Teruel). MODIS images, with 250 m and 500 m spatial resolution, from 2002 to 2019, were acquired to calculate the Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) and the Water Condition Index (WCI) based on the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and soil moisture component (W), respectively. The Optical Trapezoid Model (OPTRAM) estimated this latter W index. From them, the anomaly (Z-score) for each index was calculated, being ZVCI and ZWCI, respectively. The probability of coincidence of their negative anomalies was calculated every 10 days (10-day periods). The results show that for specific months, the ZWCI had a strong probability of informing in advance, where the negative ZVCI will decrease. Soil moisture content and vegetation indices show more similar dynamics in the months with lower temperatures (from autumn to spring). In these months, given the low temperatures, precipitation leads to vegetation growth. In the following months, water availability depends on evapotranspiration and vegetation type as the temperature rises and the precipitation falls. The stronger relationship between vegetation and precipitation from autumn to the beginning of spring is reflected in the feasibility of ZWCI to aid the prediction of ZVCI. During these months, using ZWCI as a warning index is possible for both areas studied. Notably, November to the beginning of February showed an average increase of 20–30% in the predictability of vegetation anomalies, knowing moisture soil anomalies four lags in advance. We found other periods of relevant increment in the predictability, such as March and April for Los Vélez, and from July to September for Bajo Aragón.