气候变化会导致我搬家吗?风险暴露和政治党派性在未来搬迁预期中的作用

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Lindy Williams, David Kay
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近,评估气候变化信念的研究越来越多,评估气候变化影响的经验如何影响公众舆论的研究也越来越多。然而,关于人们是否/如何相信气候变化会在自己的生活中表现出来,或者气候变化会如何更普遍地影响行为反应的研究却较少。利用 2016 年和 2020 年的两轮全国调查数据,我们研究了气候风险、政党归属和一种潜在的计划适应行为(搬迁)之间的关联。我们的结果表明,风险暴露和政治认同都有助于形成受访者的信念。一些风险测量指标与受访者关于天气/气候可能导致他们在未来搬迁的报告相关联,而且有证据表明,在两次调查之间,受访者的风险意识可能有所提高。关于政治派别,我们在一组分析中发现,2020 年受访的共和党人比其他政治亚群(包括 2016 年受访的共和党人)更不可能说天气/气候可能会对未来的搬迁决策产生潜在的巨大影响。我们还在一组分析中发现了强烈的年龄效应,年轻受访者比中老年受访者更有可能表示天气/气候会对未来搬迁产生强烈或适度的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Might I have to move due to climate change? The role of exposure to risk and political partisanship in anticipation of future relocation

Recently, the body of research that assesses belief in climate change has grown, as has the number of studies appraising how experience with the impacts of climate change might affect public opinion. However, less research has addressed the question of whether/how people believe climate change will manifest itself in their own lives, or how it might affect behavioral responses more generally. Using two rounds of national survey data from 2016 and 2020, we examine the associations between climate risk, political party affiliation, and one potential planned adaptation behavior, relocation. Our results suggest that both exposure to risk and political identification help shape respondents’ beliefs. Several measures of risk are associated with respondents’ reports that weather/climate might cause them to move in the future and there is evidence to suggest that their awareness of risk may have increased between the two surveys. Regarding political affiliation, we find in one set of analyses that Republicans interviewed in 2020 were less likely than other political subgroups, including Republicans interviewed in 2016, to say weather/climate could have a potentially strong influence on future relocation decisions. We also find strong effects of age in one set of analyses, where younger respondents were much more likely than those at middle or older ages to report that weather/climate could exert a strong to moderate influence on a future move.

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来源期刊
Climatic Change
Climatic Change 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
10.20
自引率
4.20%
发文量
180
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: Climatic Change is dedicated to the totality of the problem of climatic variability and change - its descriptions, causes, implications and interactions among these. The purpose of the journal is to provide a means of exchange among those working in different disciplines on problems related to climatic variations. This means that authors have an opportunity to communicate the essence of their studies to people in other climate-related disciplines and to interested non-disciplinarians, as well as to report on research in which the originality is in the combinations of (not necessarily original) work from several disciplines. The journal also includes vigorous editorial and book review sections.
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