数字同构体:用生成代理重新构想民主研究

Petr Specian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

技术变革的速度继续超过民主制度的发展,因此迫切需要创新的民主改革方法。然而,以速度慢、成本高、可扩展性有限和道德风险为特征的实验瓶颈长期以来一直阻碍着民主研究的进展。本文提出了一种新颖的解决方案:利用生成式人工智能(GenAI)通过模拟数字同体(GenAI驱动的实体,旨在模仿人类在社会环境中的行为)来创建合成数据。通过快速、低风险地试验替代性制度设计,这种方法可以大大加快民主创新。我探讨了人工智能辅助研究在缓解当前民主实验局限性方面的潜力,包括模拟大规模社会互动和测试复杂制度机制的能力。在承认算法偏差、可重复性挑战和人工智能对齐问题等潜在风险的同时,我认为,如果以适当的谨慎态度实施,合成数据的好处很可能会超过其缺点。为了应对现有的挑战,我提出了一系列技术、方法和制度上的调整建议。本文最后呼吁在民主研究中开发和实施 GenAI 辅助方法时开展跨学科合作,强调在技术快速变革的时代,它们有可能弥合民主理论与实践之间的差距。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Digital Homunculi: Reimagining Democracy Research with Generative Agents
The pace of technological change continues to outstrip the evolution of democratic institutions, creating an urgent need for innovative approaches to democratic reform. However, the experimentation bottleneck - characterized by slow speed, high costs, limited scalability, and ethical risks - has long hindered progress in democracy research. This paper proposes a novel solution: employing generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) to create synthetic data through the simulation of digital homunculi, GenAI-powered entities designed to mimic human behavior in social contexts. By enabling rapid, low-risk experimentation with alternative institutional designs, this approach could significantly accelerate democratic innovation. I examine the potential of GenAI-assisted research to mitigate current limitations in democratic experimentation, including the ability to simulate large-scale societal interactions and test complex institutional mechanisms. While acknowledging potential risks such as algorithmic bias, reproducibility challenges, and AI alignment issues, I argue that the benefits of synthetic data are likely to outweigh their drawbacks if implemented with proper caution. To address existing challenges, I propose a range of technical, methodological, and institutional adaptations. The paper concludes with a call for interdisciplinary collaboration in the development and implementation of GenAI-assisted methods in democracy research, highlighting their potential to bridge the gap between democratic theory and practice in an era of rapid technological change.
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