南美洲 PM2.5 浓度评估:气候模式和趋势分析

IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Washington Luiz Félix Correia Filho , Rosana Ribeiro da Costa , Ronan Adler Tavella , José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior , Dimas de Barros Santiago , Carlos Antonio da Silva Junior , Flavio Manoel Rodrigues da Silva Júnior , Raquel da Fontoura Nicolette
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究根据气候学模式和趋势分析,评估了南美洲(SA)上空空气动力直径为 2.5(PM2.5)的颗粒物浓度。本研究使用了欧洲中期天气预报中心哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)2003 年至 2022 年的 PM2.5 月度数据。采用双线性插值法对空间分辨率为 0.75°×0.75°-0.25°×0.25° 的数据进行了重采样,随后对 20 年系列的 PM2.5 浓度进行了季节和年度尺度的气候学分析。评估包括三个主要阶段:1)描述性统计;2)季节和年度气候学模式;3)趋势分析(Mann-Kendall - MK 和 Pettitt 检验)。结果表明,由于厄尔尼诺南方涛动事件(2003-2005 年、2007 年、2010 年、2020 年和 2022 年),亚马逊地区和巴拉圭北部的 PM2.5 年浓度最大。PM2.5 的年平均浓度超过了世界卫生组织建议的限值(5 微克/立方米),从 15.57 微克/立方米(1999 年)到 22.74 微克/立方米(2007 年和 2010 年)不等。亚马逊和智利(圣地亚哥)的 PM2.5 浓度最高,年均达到 160.4 μg m-3,季节性达到 177.8 μg m-3(春季)。季节性 PM2.5 浓度升高的原因是森林砍伐和野火的增加,这与气象系统有关,如干燥时期(冬季和春季)的玻利维亚高空和亚热带喷流。MK 测试显示,2003 年至 2022 年期间,阿根廷(北部)、巴西(重新造林弧)、玻利维亚(南部)和智利(北部)的 PM2.5 浓度显著下降。每年冬季的降低值在 0.5 到 10 μg m-3.year-1 之间,这归因于种植商品地区的免耕做法。佩蒂特测试还确定了 2006-2008 年和 2010-2011 年发生的重大结构变化,与 MK 测试中强调的区域一致。这项研究为空气质量和环境监测管理人员减轻南澳大利亚的 PM2.5 污染提供了有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of the PM2.5 concentrations in South America: Climatological patterns and trend analysis

This study assessed the concentration of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 (PM2.5) over South America (SA) based on climatological patterns and trend analysis. This study used monthly PM2.5 data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) at the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts from 2003 to 2022. The bilinear interpolation method was applied to the data resampling from 0.75° × 0.75°–0.25° × 0.25° spatial resolution, and subsequently, the climatological analysis was performed on seasonal and annual scales of PM2.5 concentrations for the 20-year series. The assessment comprised three main stages: 1) descriptive statistics, 2) seasonal and annual climatology patterns, and 3) trend analysis (Mann-Kendall - MK and Pettitt tests). Results indicated that the largest annual PM2.5 concentrations were found in the Amazon region and northern Paraguay due the El-Niño South Oscillation events (2003–2005, 2007, 2010, 2020, and 2022). The annual average PM2.5 concentrations exceeded the WHO recommended limit (5 μg m−3), ranging from 15.57 μg m−3 (1999) and 22.74 μg m−3 (2007 and 2010). The highest PM2.5 concentrations were observed in the Amazon and Chile (Santiago), reaching 160.4 μg m−3 annually and 177.8 μg m−3 seasonally (spring). Elevated seasonal PM2.5 concentrations were attributed to increased deforestation and wildfires associated with meteorological systems such as the Bolivian high and subtropical jets during dry periods (winter and spring). The MK test revealed a significant reduction in PM2.5 concentrations between 2003 and 2022, observed in Argentina (north), Brazil (arc of reforestation), Bolivia (south), and Chile (north). Reduction values varied between 0.5 and 10 μg m−3.year−1 annually and during winter, attributed to no-tillage practices in regions cultivating commodities. The Pettitt test also identified significant structural changes occurring in 2006–2008 and 2010–2011, aligning with areas highlighted in the MK test. This study provides valuable insights for air quality and environmental monitoring managers to mitigate PM2.5 pollution in SA.

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来源期刊
Atmospheric Environment
Atmospheric Environment 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
8.00%
发文量
458
审稿时长
53 days
期刊介绍: Atmospheric Environment has an open access mirror journal Atmospheric Environment: X, sharing the same aims and scope, editorial team, submission system and rigorous peer review. Atmospheric Environment is the international journal for scientists in different disciplines related to atmospheric composition and its impacts. The journal publishes scientific articles with atmospheric relevance of emissions and depositions of gaseous and particulate compounds, chemical processes and physical effects in the atmosphere, as well as impacts of the changing atmospheric composition on human health, air quality, climate change, and ecosystems.
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