损失与风险意识:为什么飓风过后房价会回升?

IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Hoanh Le
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我研究了 "桑迪 "飓风后的房价动态,以解释价格下跌后又完全恢复这一常见的令人费解的现象。通过对 Zillow 地块级销售数据与联邦紧急事务管理局受损建筑数据相结合的准实验性差异研究设计,我发现直接受损程度推动了房价的下跌。根据建筑许可证估算出的改建支出程度被认为是导致房价恢复到风暴前水平的原因。比较洪泛区内受影响地区和非受影响地区的洪水保险投保率以及洪泛区外的投保率,我发现洪泛区内的风险感知没有变化。相反,飓风过后,洪泛区外受灾地区的洪水保险投保率有所上升。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Damage versus risk perception: Why do house prices recover after hurricanes?

I study house price dynamics following Hurricane Sandy to explain the common puzzling finding of a price drop followed by a complete price recovery. Applying a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences research design on Zillow parcel-level sales data combined with Federal Emergency Management Agency data on damaged structures, I show that the extent of direct damages drives the decline in house prices. The extent of remodeling expenditures, as estimated from building permits, is found to be responsible for causing the return of prices to pre-storm levels. Comparing flood insurance take-up rates in the affected and non-affected areas within floodplains and similarly for outside floodplains, I find no revision in perceived risk in the floodplain. In contrast, there has been an increase in flood insurance take-up rates in affected areas outside of floodplains after the hurricane.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Journal of Regional Science (JRS) publishes original analytical research at the intersection of economics and quantitative geography. Since 1958, the JRS has published leading contributions to urban and regional thought including rigorous methodological contributions and seminal theoretical pieces. The JRS is one of the most highly cited journals in urban and regional research, planning, geography, and the environment. The JRS publishes work that advances our understanding of the geographic dimensions of urban and regional economies, human settlements, and policies related to cities and regions.
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