为在澳大利亚实现可持续发展目标 7 而对清洁能源技术进行多标准决策分析:太阳能能否改变游戏规则?

IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
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引用次数: 0

摘要

实现能源的可持续发展是任何国家采取气候行动的关键所在。澳大利亚拥有得天独厚的可再生能源潜力,但目前的能源结构却以化石燃料为主。因此,我们将澳大利亚作为一个有趣的案例研究,分析商业清洁能源技术在澳大利亚实现可持续发展目标 7 的潜力。拟议的研究采用了定量与定性混合方法,以评估清洁能源技术的潜力,并指导当前情况以实现能源的可持续发展。首先,确定了澳大利亚主要的商业化清洁能源技术,包括水电、风能、太阳能和生物能源。评估标准旨在从能源转型、地理、经济、政治、社会和环境标准等方面说明能源可持续性的特点。共列出了 16 个次级标准,以反映能源可持续性愿景,并据此对替代品进行评估。每项标准的权重是通过使用模糊层次分析法(AHP)和香农熵模型确定的。借助 7 个多标准决策模型对清洁能源替代品的潜力进行评估和排序,以获得稳健可靠的结果。结果表明,太阳能技术在支持澳大利亚能源可持续发展愿景方面的潜力最大,占 39.7%,其次是风能、水电和生物能源技术,分别占 29.8%、20.6% 和 9.9%。为分析加权和归一化方法的影响,进行了敏感性分析。为验证结果,还进行了斯皮尔曼加权秩相关分析和秩反转测试。定性评估旨在调查澳大利亚推广清洁能源技术的阻碍因素和支持因素,并制定实现可持续发展目标 7 的战略。支持屋顶光伏发电的政策以及对电网整合或电网扩展方案的投资对澳大利亚实现可持续发展目标 7 的进展有着巨大的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Multi-criteria decision analysis of clean energy technologies for envisioning sustainable development goal 7 in Australia: Is solar energy a game-changer?

Multi-criteria decision analysis of clean energy technologies for envisioning sustainable development goal 7 in Australia: Is solar energy a game-changer?

Achieving energy sustainability is cardinal to align the efforts of any country towards climate actions. Australia being blessed with high renewable energy potential has an energy mix currently dominated by fossil fuels. This projects Australia as an interesting case study to analyse the potential of commercial clean energy technologies to pursue the vision of Sustainable Development Goal 7 in Australia. The proposed study incorporates a hybrid quantitative–qualitative methodology to assess the potential of clean energy technologies and direct the current scenario to achieve energy sustainability. Initially, the prominent commercialised clean energy technologies in Australia are identified which include hydropower, wind energy, solar energy and bioenergy. The evaluation criteria are designed to illustrate the characteristics of energy sustainability from the dimensions of energy transition, geographic, economic, political, social and environmental criteria. A total of 16 sub-criteria are outlined to reflect the energy sustainability vision against which the alternatives are assessed. The weightage to each criterion is determined by using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Shannon’s Entropy models. The potential of clean energy alternatives is assessed and ranked with the aid of 7 multicriteria decision-making models to obtain robust and reliable results. The results imply that solar energy technology has the highest potential to support the energy sustainability vision of Australia with a score of 39.7 % followed by wind energy, hydropower and bioenergy technologies with a score of 29.8 %, 20.6 % and 9.9 %, respectively. Sensitive analysis is performed to analyse the impact of weightage and normalization methods. Spearman’s weighted rank correlation analysis and the rank reversal test has been performed to validate the results. The qualitative assessment is performed to investigate the hindering and supporting factors to promote clean energy technologies in Australia and to frame the strategies to achieve SDG 7. Policies to support rooftop PV and investments towards either grid integration or grid expansion scenarios have a huge role in influencing the progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 7 in Australia.

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来源期刊
Energy Conversion and Management
Energy Conversion and Management 工程技术-力学
CiteScore
19.00
自引率
11.50%
发文量
1304
审稿时长
17 days
期刊介绍: The journal Energy Conversion and Management provides a forum for publishing original contributions and comprehensive technical review articles of interdisciplinary and original research on all important energy topics. The topics considered include energy generation, utilization, conversion, storage, transmission, conservation, management and sustainability. These topics typically involve various types of energy such as mechanical, thermal, nuclear, chemical, electromagnetic, magnetic and electric. These energy types cover all known energy resources, including renewable resources (e.g., solar, bio, hydro, wind, geothermal and ocean energy), fossil fuels and nuclear resources.
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