Quantitative assessment of well leakage, part I: Cement stress evolution

A damaged cement sheath in wells can open a leakage pathway to shallow freshwater aquifers and atmosphere. Quantitative assessment of leakage along wells has become an area of interest for both the industry and the regulatory bodies. The well leakage can be of importance in both active and legacy wells. In order to estimate leakage through cement sheaths, the size of the leakage pathway and the damage in the cement sheath must be estimated. In this work, we have developed a hydro-thermo-mechanically coupled near-well model that aims to calculate the evolution of cement’s stress as it cures. This process takes into account the cement’s gradual increase in stiffness, chemical shrinkage, and the heat of hydration. The results are verified using lab measured cement stress and pore pressure data from the literature. A case study was developed based on a low-enthalpy geothermal doublet in the Netherlands. The results show that during the cold water injection, an outer microannulus may open to 60 µm. The presence of an external source of water and formation stiffness are of significant importance in determining the damage to the cement sheath. The heat of hydration in cement increases the temperature of cement during curing. The subsequent drop in temperature due to drilling or completion reduces the cement stress and exacerbates the damage to the cement sheath. The producer well may not form a microannuli, however shear and cyclical failure may be of higher likelihood. The modelling framework presented here allows for estimation of annular cement stress in the well. The analysis provides quantitative estimates of the size of the leakage pathway along a well that can be used to estimate well leakge. Quantitative estimate of well leakage provides crucial information for quantitative risk analysis and provides a framework to optimize well operations to minimize leakage risk.