Predictive Value of Angle of Progression in Term Nulliparous Women

Objectives

This study aims to explore the correlation between the angle of progression (AOP) and spontaneous vaginal delivery (SVD) for term nulliparous women before the onset of labor. Additionally, it evaluates the diagnostic efficacy of AOP in predicting SVD in term nulliparous women.

Methods

In this retrospective observational study, data from nulliparous women without contraindications for vaginal delivery, with a singleton pregnancy ≥37 weeks, and before the onset of labor were included. Transperineal ultrasound was performed to collect AOP. The date and mode of delivery were tracked, to assess the correlation between AOP and SVD in term nulliparous women. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of AOP in predicting SVD for term nulliparous women.

Results

The SVD-failure (SVD-f) group exhibited a significantly lower AOP compared with the SVD group (88.43° vs 95.72°, P < .001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that AOP was associated with SVD in term nulliparous women (OR = 1.051). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the area under the ROC curve with AOP 84° as the threshold was 0.663, with a sensitivity of 85.25% and specificity of 43.18%. Considering a sensitivity and specificity of 90%, the dual cut-off values for term nulliparous women for SVD were 81° and 104°, respectively.

Conclusions

A positive correlation was identified between AOP and SVD for nulliparous women after 37 weeks and before the onset of labor. Notably, term nulliparous women with AOP exceeding 104° exhibited a higher probability of SVD.