冲突会加剧能源贫困吗?

IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Usman Khalid , Muhammad Shafiullah , Sajid M. Chaudhry
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引用次数: 0

摘要

陷入冲突的国家面临诸多社会经济挑战。除人力成本外,冲突还会破坏一个国家的能源基础设施,如发电厂、输电线路和燃料供应链等。因此,冲突减少了受影响经济体获得能源产品以及清洁和适当技术的机会。这加剧了国家幸存者之间的资源竞争和能源匮乏问题。在此背景下,本研究探讨了能源贫困与国内冲突之间的关系,以及国内流离失所者对能源贫困的影响。我们的研究使用了世界银行和奥斯陆和平研究所(PRIO)数据库中 1996 年至 2021 年 94 个国家的数据,并采用了面板逻辑回归和其他各种估计方法。我们发现,国内冲突和国内流离失所者加剧了经济体内部和经济体之间的能源贫困,而能源贫困的原因在于能源消耗减少、获得电力和清洁烹饪的机会有限。我们的研究结果对内生性、规格化、遗漏变量偏差和其他冲突测量方法都是稳健的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does conflict aggravate energy poverty?

A country grappling with conflict faces a multitude of socioeconomic challenges. In addition to human costs, conflicts are observed to destroy a country's energy infrastructure, such as power plants, transmission lines, and fuel supply chains, inter alia. As such, conflicts reduce access to energy products as well as clean and appropriate technologies in the afflicted economy. This aggravates the competition for resources and the energy deprivation problem among the country's survivors. Against this backdrop, this study examines the relationship between energy poverty and internal conflict, as well as the impact of internally displaced persons on energy poverty. Our study uses data from the World Bank and the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) database for 94 countries from 1996 to 2021, and employs panel logistic regression and various other estimators. We find that internal conflict and internally displaced persons contribute to increased energy poverty within and between economies, which is attributed to reduced energy consumption and limited access to electricity and clean cooking. Our results are robust to endogeneity, specification, omitted variable bias, and alternative measures of conflict.

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来源期刊
Energy Policy
Energy Policy 管理科学-环境科学
CiteScore
17.30
自引率
5.60%
发文量
540
审稿时长
7.9 months
期刊介绍: Energy policy is the manner in which a given entity (often governmental) has decided to address issues of energy development including energy conversion, distribution and use as well as reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in order to contribute to climate change mitigation. The attributes of energy policy may include legislation, international treaties, incentives to investment, guidelines for energy conservation, taxation and other public policy techniques. Energy policy is closely related to climate change policy because totalled worldwide the energy sector emits more greenhouse gas than other sectors.
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