审查关于增长放缓的研究:数据、方法和政策分析是否与主张相匹配?

IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY
Ivan Savin , Jeroen van den Bergh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的十年中,出现了许多关于作为应对环境和社会问题战略的增长方式的出版物。我们对这些出版物的内容、数据和方法进行了系统回顾。其中包括使用计算语言学来确定调查的主要议题。根据 561 项研究的样本,我们得出以下结论(1) 内容涵盖 11 个主要议题;(2) 绝大多数(近 90%)的研究都是观点而非分析;(3) 很少有研究使用定量或定性数据,使用正式建模的研究则更少;(4) 第一类和第二类研究往往包含小样本或侧重于非代表性案例;(5) 大多数研究提供了临时性和主观性的政策建议,缺乏政策评估,也没有结合环境/气候政策文献的见解;(6) 在为数不多的关于公众支持的研究中,大多数得出的结论是,从社会-政治角度看,增长战略和政策是不可行的;(7) 各种研究存在 "反向因果关系 "混淆,即在使用 "增长 "一词的同时,并没有使用 "退化 "一词。(8) 很少有研究采用全系统的视角--相反,大多数研究侧重于小规模的地方案例,对整体经济没有明确的影响。我们将通过具体研究来说明这些发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reviewing studies of degrowth: Are claims matched by data, methods and policy analysis?

In the last decade many publications have appeared on degrowth as a strategy to confront environmental and social problems. We undertake a systematic review of their content, data and methods. This involves the use of computational linguistics to identify main topics investigated. Based on a sample of 561 studies we conclude that: (1) content covers 11 main topics; (2) the large majority (almost 90%) of studies are opinions rather than analysis; (3) few studies use quantitative or qualitative data, and even fewer ones use formal modelling; (4) the first and second type tend to include small samples or focus on non-representative cases; (5) most studies offer ad hoc and subjective policy advice, lacking policy evaluation and integration with insights from the literature on environmental/climate policies; (6) of the few studies on public support, a majority concludes that degrowth strategies and policies are socially-politically infeasible; (7) various studies represent a “reverse causality” confusion, i.e. use the term degrowth not for a deliberate strategy but to denote economic decline (in GDP terms) resulting from exogenous factors or public policies; (8) few studies adopt a system-wide perspective – instead most focus on small, local cases without a clear implication for the economy as a whole. We illustrate each of these findings for concrete studies.

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来源期刊
Ecological Economics
Ecological Economics 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
12.00
自引率
5.70%
发文量
313
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Ecological Economics is concerned with extending and integrating the understanding of the interfaces and interplay between "nature''s household" (ecosystems) and "humanity''s household" (the economy). Ecological economics is an interdisciplinary field defined by a set of concrete problems or challenges related to governing economic activity in a way that promotes human well-being, sustainability, and justice. The journal thus emphasizes critical work that draws on and integrates elements of ecological science, economics, and the analysis of values, behaviors, cultural practices, institutional structures, and societal dynamics. The journal is transdisciplinary in spirit and methodologically open, drawing on the insights offered by a variety of intellectual traditions, and appealing to a diverse readership. Specific research areas covered include: valuation of natural resources, sustainable agriculture and development, ecologically integrated technology, integrated ecologic-economic modelling at scales from local to regional to global, implications of thermodynamics for economics and ecology, renewable resource management and conservation, critical assessments of the basic assumptions underlying current economic and ecological paradigms and the implications of alternative assumptions, economic and ecological consequences of genetically engineered organisms, and gene pool inventory and management, alternative principles for valuing natural wealth, integrating natural resources and environmental services into national income and wealth accounts, methods of implementing efficient environmental policies, case studies of economic-ecologic conflict or harmony, etc. New issues in this area are rapidly emerging and will find a ready forum in Ecological Economics.
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