作为新兴清洁能源的无水氨在运输过程中的风险事故分析。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI:10.1111/risa.17634
Md Ferdousul Haque Shikder, Yili Tang, Eman Almehdawe, Jefferson Cruz Araújo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于清洁能源技术的最新发展,无水氨的需求量迅速增加。由于无水氨是氢气的潜在载体,运输业目前面临着巨大的物流挑战和安全风险。本研究根据 1971 年至 2021 年美国在运输过程中发生的历史事故,从原因和影响两个方面对事故模式进行了分类。对时间模式的分析表明,政府法规和安全基础设施的改善对降低事故率的影响最大。此外,还采用了空间分析方法来了解这些事故与空间因素之间的关系,如美国各州的土地面积、氨生产设施数量、总平均生产能力以及货运铁路和公路总长度。这些时空模式和解释为管理日益增长的清洁能源危险运输提供了安全参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk incident analyses in the transportation of anhydrous ammonia as an emerging clean energy resource.

Anhydrous ammonia has seen a rapid increase in demand due to recent developments in clean energy technologies. As it is a potential carrier of hydrogen, the transportation industry is currently facing significant logistic challenges as well as safety risks. Based on the causes and effects, this study categorizes incident patterns based on the historical incidents from 1971 to 2021 in the United States during transportation. Analysis of temporal patterns revealed that government regulations and improvement of safety infrastructures have made the biggest impact on lowering incident rates. Spatial analysis methods are also applied to understand the relationships between these incidents and spatial factors, such as land area, number of ammonia production facilities, total average production capacity, and total length of freight railway and highway in each US state. The spatial and temporal patterns and interpretations provide safety references to manage the growing hazardous transport in clean energy.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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