High circulating microRNA-197 levels are associated with an increased risk of incident stroke among elderly survivors of the Great East Japan Earthquake.

Background: Incidence of ischemic stroke increased after natural disasters. Therefore, it is important to establish a means of identifying high-risk populations for incident stroke. We performed a prospective cohort study to examine whether these three cardiovascular disease-related miRNAs (miR-126, miR-197, and miR-223) are associated with incident stroke among elderly survivors of the Great East Japan Earthquake.

Method: This cohort study was conducted using the data of 1192 survivors of the Great East Japan Earthquake over 60-years old who underwent a health check-up in December 2011. We followed up participants to record stroke cases until the end of 2016. We measured serum miRNAs by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. HRs for incident stroke were estimated by Cox proportional hazard regression analyses.

Result: The serum miR-197 level was significantly associated with the incident stroke; the HR per one standard deviation change in the miR-197 level was 1.65 (95% confidence interval: 1.19 - 2.30). In contrast, the levels of miR-126 and miR-223 were not associated with the incident stroke.

Conclusion: We found that a higher miR-197 level is associated with an increased risk of incident stroke; thus, miR-197 is expected to be useful as a predictive biomarker.