基于代理的可持续城市客运车辆交通模型:德黑兰案例

IF 7.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为应对全球城市中心日益严重的交通拥堵和空气质量恶化问题,迫切需要准确的交通预测和有效的可持续城市发展战略。本研究采用基于代理的建模方法,对伊朗德黑兰的四种不同情景进行了模拟。使用模拟退火法精心设计了一个合成人口,从而能够模拟日常通勤模式。研究结果表明,通过加强自行车基础设施建设和改善公共交通服务,对私家车的依赖程度降低了 46%。引入弹性工作时间后,交通高峰时段的车流量减少了 47%,并显著改变了私家车的日常行驶距离,强调弹性工作时间的方案与交通模式更传统的方案之间的车流量增长比例为 1:6。这些结果为决策者管理交通,尤其是高污染空气条件下的交通提供了有力的启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Agent-Based Modeling for Sustainable Urban Passenger Vehicle Mobility: A Case of Tehran

In response to escalating congestion and deteriorating air quality in urban centers worldwide, exacerbated by overburdened transportation systems, there is an urgent need for accurate traffic forecasting and effective sustainable urban development strategies. This study employs agent-based modeling through four distinctive scenarios for Tehran, I. R. Iran. A synthetic population is meticulously crafted using simulated annealing, enabling the emulation of daily commuting patterns. Results show that by bolstering cycling infrastructure and enhancing public transportation services, reliance on private cars is reduced up to 46%. The introduction of flexible working hours reduces the traffic volumes during peak traffic hours by 47% and significantly altering the daily distances traveled by personal cars, as evidenced by a 1:6 ratio in car volume increase between scenarios emphasizing flexible working hours and those with more conventional traffic patterns. The results provide powerful insights for decisionmakers to manage the traffic especially in high polluted air conditions.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.40
自引率
9.20%
发文量
314
审稿时长
39 days
期刊介绍: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.
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