气候变化对病媒传染疾病的影响:探索孟加拉国的热点、近期趋势和未来展望

IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 PARASITOLOGY
Md. Jannatul Naeem Jibon , S.M. Ridwana Prodhan Ruku , Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam , Md. Nuruzzaman Khan , Javed Mallick , A.B.M. Mainul Bari , Venkatramanan Senapathi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化是一个重要的风险倍增器,深刻影响着病媒传染疾病(VBDs)的传播动态、地理分布和复发。由于气候变化,孟加拉国的病媒传染病明显增加。尽管这一问题十分严重,但孟加拉国气候变化与病媒传染病之间的相互联系仍有待深入探讨。为了填补这一研究空白,我们的综述仔细研究了孟加拉国气候变化与脆弱性和生物多样性之间关系的现有文献。利用系统综述和元分析首选报告项目(PRISMA)方法,我们从 SCOPUS、Web of Science 和 Google Scholar 数据库中找到了 3849 条记录。最终,22 篇符合特定标准的研究文章被纳入其中。我们发现,尽管有关气候变化与登革热关系的研究近来有所增加,但有关本研究主题的文献并不同步,有 68% 的研究在 2014 年之前就已投资了数据集。我们指出,达卡和吉大港山区分别是登革热和疟疾的研究热点。我们强调,2023 年的登革热疫情表明孟加拉国登革热流行地区可能发生变化。此外,与 2019 年的记录相比,2023 年的登革热病例激增了 317%,与 2022 年相比,死亡率相应增加了 607%。据观察,登革热病例与气候驱动因素(包括厄尔尼诺南方涛动(ENSO)和印度洋偶极子(IOD))之间存在微弱联系。然而,没有令人信服的证据支持疟疾病例与孟加拉湾海面温度(SST)以及 NINO3 现象之间存在联系。我们注意到,部分研究中纳入的微气候和非气候数据极少。我们的综述对政策制定者具有启示意义,敦促他们优先考虑减缓措施,如全年监测和预警系统。最后,我们呼吁分配资源,使研究人员有能力在不断变化的气候中推进对脆弱性和生物多样性动态的了解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases: Exploring hotspots, recent trends and future outlooks in Bangladesh

Climate change is a significant risk multiplier and profoundly influences the transmission dynamics, geographical distribution, and resurgence of vector-borne diseases (VBDs). Bangladesh has a noticeable rise in VBDs attributed to climate change. Despite the severity of this issue, the interconnections between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh have yet to be thoroughly explored. To address this research gap, our review meticulously examined existing literature on the relationship between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach, we identified 3849 records from SCOPUS, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases. Ultimately, 22 research articles meeting specific criteria were included. We identified that the literature on the subject matter of this study is non-contemporaneous, with 68% of studies investing datasets before 2014, despite studies on climate change and dengue nexus having increased recently. We pinpointed Dhaka and Chittagong Hill Tracts as the dengue and malaria research hotspots, respectively. We highlighted that the 2023 dengue outbreak illustrates a possible shift in dengue-endemic areas in Bangladesh. Moreover, dengue cases surged by 317% in 2023 compared to 2019 records, with a corresponding 607% increase in mortality compared to 2022. A weak connection was observed between dengue incidents and climate drivers, including the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). However, no compelling evidence supported an association between malaria cases, and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Bay of Bengal, along with the NINO3 phenomenon. We observed minimal microclimatic and non-climatic data inclusion in selected studies. Our review holds implications for policymakers, urging the prioritization of mitigation measures such as year-round surveillance and early warning systems. Ultimately, it calls for resource allocation to empower researchers in advancing the understanding of VBD dynamics amidst changing climates.

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来源期刊
Acta tropica
Acta tropica 医学-寄生虫学
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
11.10%
发文量
383
审稿时长
37 days
期刊介绍: Acta Tropica, is an international journal on infectious diseases that covers public health sciences and biomedical research with particular emphasis on topics relevant to human and animal health in the tropics and the subtropics.
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