{"title":"基于因子动量的四因子模型","authors":"Mengqi Cui , Daye Li","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102511","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>By focusing on the momentum effect in China, we introduce a novel four-factor model grounded by factor momentum. We address this by progressively exploring three key questions. Firstly, we identify a significant momentum premium. In contrast to the US, where momentum forms over a period of 2–12 months, the formation period for momentum in China spans 7–12 months. Moreover, among various momentum factors, factor momentum stands out as the most significant, effectively explaining stock momentum, industry momentum, and regional momentum, whereas the reverse is not true. Secondly, we find that there exists a notable orthogonality between factor momentum and non-momentum factors in China, implying that factor momentum can hardly be explained by non-factor momentum, and vice versa. Thirdly, leveraging this orthogonality, we establish a four-factor model. Expanding upon the MKT and SMB factors, the model additionally includes a mispricing factor and a momentum factor. GRS tests demonstrate that this model outperforms traditional Fama-French three-factor model, Carhart four-factor model, Q-4 factor model, and the three-factor model proposed by Liu et al. (2019).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"87 ","pages":"Article 102511"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A four-factor model based on factor momentum\",\"authors\":\"Mengqi Cui , Daye Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102511\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>By focusing on the momentum effect in China, we introduce a novel four-factor model grounded by factor momentum. We address this by progressively exploring three key questions. Firstly, we identify a significant momentum premium. In contrast to the US, where momentum forms over a period of 2–12 months, the formation period for momentum in China spans 7–12 months. Moreover, among various momentum factors, factor momentum stands out as the most significant, effectively explaining stock momentum, industry momentum, and regional momentum, whereas the reverse is not true. Secondly, we find that there exists a notable orthogonality between factor momentum and non-momentum factors in China, implying that factor momentum can hardly be explained by non-factor momentum, and vice versa. Thirdly, leveraging this orthogonality, we establish a four-factor model. Expanding upon the MKT and SMB factors, the model additionally includes a mispricing factor and a momentum factor. GRS tests demonstrate that this model outperforms traditional Fama-French three-factor model, Carhart four-factor model, Q-4 factor model, and the three-factor model proposed by Liu et al. (2019).</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48074,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal\",\"volume\":\"87 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102511\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X24002634\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X24002634","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
By focusing on the momentum effect in China, we introduce a novel four-factor model grounded by factor momentum. We address this by progressively exploring three key questions. Firstly, we identify a significant momentum premium. In contrast to the US, where momentum forms over a period of 2–12 months, the formation period for momentum in China spans 7–12 months. Moreover, among various momentum factors, factor momentum stands out as the most significant, effectively explaining stock momentum, industry momentum, and regional momentum, whereas the reverse is not true. Secondly, we find that there exists a notable orthogonality between factor momentum and non-momentum factors in China, implying that factor momentum can hardly be explained by non-factor momentum, and vice versa. Thirdly, leveraging this orthogonality, we establish a four-factor model. Expanding upon the MKT and SMB factors, the model additionally includes a mispricing factor and a momentum factor. GRS tests demonstrate that this model outperforms traditional Fama-French three-factor model, Carhart four-factor model, Q-4 factor model, and the three-factor model proposed by Liu et al. (2019).
期刊介绍:
The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.