人力资本开发在城市化-经济增长关系中的作用:对尼日利亚的新认识

IF 3.3 2区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
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引用次数: 0

摘要

鉴于全球城市规模不可避免地扩大,优先考虑支持经济增长的可持续城市发展已变得非常重要。因此,可持续城市经济增长文献激增。此外,越来越多的观点认为,城市化的增长效应取决于某些宏观经济因素的中介作用。然而,尽管尼日利亚是世界上城市化速度最快的国家之一,但有关尼日利亚城市化与经济增长关系的现有研究却很少,而且尚未研究宏观经济因素在这一关系中可能发挥的调节作用。因此,本研究利用 1991 年至 2022 年的年度数据,研究了人力资本发展(HCD)在尼日利亚城市化与经济增长关系中的调节作用。在实证分析中,本研究采用了自回归分布式滞后误差修正模型(ARDL-ECM)。使用动态普通最小平方(DOLS)估计器检验了研究结果的稳健性。回归结果表明,虽然单独的城市化并不能促进经济增长,但城市化与人类发展指数的交互作用产生了正系数,表明人类发展指数减轻了城市化对经济增长的不利影响。根据研究结果,本研究建议,城市发展政策应与实现良好管理的城市相匹配,以利用城市化进程不断推进所带来的聚集经济效益。此外,由于人力资本开发在城市化-经济增长关系中的有利作用,城市发展政策应重点关注以教育和卫生形式促进人力资本的战略计划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The role of human capital development in urbanization-economic growth nexus: A new insight on Nigeria

Given the inevitable rise in global urban size, it has become pertinent to prioritize sustainable urban development which supports economic growth. Hence, the surge in sustainable urban-economic growth literature. Moreover, there is a growing argument that the growth effect of urbanization is contingent on the mediating roles of certain macroeconomic factors. However, despite being one of the fastest urbanizing countries in the world, extant studies on urbanization-economic growth nexus in Nigeria are few and the possible modulating roles of macroeconomic factors in the nexus has not been studied. Therefore, using annual data spanning between 1991 and 2022, this study examines the modulating effect of human capital development (HCD) in the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Nigeria. For the empirical analysis, the study adopts the autoregressive distributed lag error correction model (ARDL-ECM). Robustness of the findings is tested using the dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) estimator. The regression outcomes s show that while urbanization independently does not promote economic growth, its interaction with the measure of HCD produces a positive coefficient suggesting that HCD mitigates the adverse effect of urbanization on economic growth. Based on the findings, the study recommends that urban development policies should be compatible with achieving well-managed cities in order to harness the agglomeration economies benefits of increasing urbanization process. In addition, due to the favourable role of HCD in the urbanization-economic growth relationship, strategic plans focused on promoting human capital in the form of education and health should be focalized in urban development policies.

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来源期刊
Sustainable Futures
Sustainable Futures Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
1.80%
发文量
34
审稿时长
71 days
期刊介绍: Sustainable Futures: is a journal focused on the intersection of sustainability, environment and technology from various disciplines in social sciences, and their larger implications for corporation, government, education institutions, regions and society both at present and in the future. It provides an advanced platform for studies related to sustainability and sustainable development in society, economics, environment, and culture. The scope of the journal is broad and encourages interdisciplinary research, as well as welcoming theoretical and practical research from all methodological approaches.
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