Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio at 36 weeks' gestation: association with spontaneous onset of labor and intrapartum fetal compromise in low-risk pregnancies.

Background: Previous evidence showed that placental dysfunction triggers spontaneous preterm or term births and intrapartum fetal compromise and often requires urgent delivery, thereby exposing both the fetus and the mother to significant risks. Predicting spontaneous labor onset and intrapartum fetal compromise could improve obstetrical management and outcomes, but this is currently difficult, particularly in low-risk populations.

Objective: The objective of this study was to examine whether placental dysfunction, as assessed at 36 weeks' gestation by the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 to placental growth factor ratio, is associated with the interval to spontaneous onset of labor and intrapartum fetal compromise that requires cesarean delivery in a routinely examined population.

Study design: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of women with singleton pregnancies who underwent routine assessment at 35+0 to 36+6 weeks' gestation at the King's College Hospital (London, England). Using a general linear model, the study examined the outcomes related to the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio, including the time interval from testing to spontaneous onset of labor and the subsequent rate of fetal compromise that required a cesarean delivery. Patients who underwent induction of labor or prelabor cesarean deliveries were excluded from the study. Competing risks regression and Cox regression models were used to estimate the cumulative incidence and the risk of the outcomes of interest.

Results: In the screened population of 45,375 patients, 23,831 (52.5%) had spontaneous onset of labor and were included in the analysis. Cases with an soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio >50 delivered about 1 week earlier than those with a ratio of ≤50 (39.2 vs 40.0 weeks' gestation; P<.001). The general linear model showed that a larger soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio was associated with earlier spontaneous onset of labor (P<.001), particularly among multiparous women. The soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio was significantly associated, as expected, with cases of preeclampsia and advanced maternal age. The cumulative incidence of spontaneous onset of labor was significantly higher in cases with an soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio >50 than in those with a ratio 50 (P<.001). Cox regression showed that the risk for spontaneous onset of labor increased with an soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio >50 (hazard ratio, 1.424; 95% confidence interval, 1.253-1.618; P<.001) and, as expected, the risk was mitigated over time from when the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio was measured to spontaneous labor onset (P<.001). Cases with intrapartum fetal compromise had a higher mean soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio than those without intrapartum fetal compromise (21.79 vs 17.67; P<.001). Qualitative addition of fetal compromise to the general linear model showed a higher soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio in cases with fetal compromise than in those without fetal compromise (P=.014). Competing risks regression showed a positive dose-response effect for fetal compromise with increasing soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratios (P<.001). Above and below the optimal cutoff of 50, the quoted cumulative incidences were 6.7% and 4.7%, respectively (P<.001). The effect of the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio remained significant even after adjusting for preeclampsia, which is a well-known major risk factor for fetal compromise. Finally, the proportion of cases with intrapartum fetal compromise who had an soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio >50 decreased from 35% to 0% with advancing gestation.

Conclusion: This study showed that an increased soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio at 36 weeks' gestation is associated with an earlier gestational age at spontaneous onset of labor and higher rates of intrapartum fetal compromise. There are 2 major implications, namely an soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio >50 indicates imminent labor onset with about a 40% mean risk increase and immediate clinical translation for term pregnancy monitoring. In addition, an increased soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio increases the risk for intrapartum fetal compromise, although outcome variability indicates reassessment within multimarker models.