资源匮乏环境中的共用卫生设施与呼吸道病毒传播风险:COVID-19 建模案例研究。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI:10.1111/risa.17633
Michael A L Hayashi, Sophia M Simon, Kaiyue Zou, Hannah Van Wyk, Mondal Hasan Zahid, Joseph N S Eisenberg, Matthew C Freeman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在资源匮乏的环境中,供水和卫生设施是经常共享的基本家庭服务。共用卫生设施会增加肠道病原体传播的风险,因为大量人员使用的设施清洁度不佳。它还可能增加呼吸道疾病传播的风险。由于卫生是一项基本需求,即使采取了严格的控制措施(如建议留在家中),共用卫生设施也可能成为重要的呼吸道病原体传播场所。本分析探讨了共用卫生设施周围的行为和基础设施条件如何单独和交互影响呼吸道病原体的传播。我们以 COVID-19 为例,建立了一个基于个体的社区传播模型,并根据经验文献中的参数进行了调整,以探索共用厕所中的传播与社区层面的传播是如何相互作用的。我们探讨了缓解策略,包括基础设施和行为干预。我们对实证文献的回顾证实,在资源匮乏的环境中,共用卫生设施的规模相对较小,通风条件差,使用率高。在这种情况下,共用卫生设施可能成为呼吸道疾病传播的强大驱动力,尤其是在依赖共用设施的地区。减少对共用厕所的依赖对减少与卫生设施相关的传播最为有效。改善厕所通风和洗手行为也能减少传播。干预措施的类型和顺序对于成功降低疾病风险非常重要,首先实施基础设施和工程控制最为有效,在成功降低足够的替代传播途径后再实施行为控制。除了 COVID-19,我们的建模框架还可以扩展到针对一系列环境介导传染病的水、环境卫生和个人卫生措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Shared sanitation facilities and risk of respiratory virus transmission in resource-poor settings: A COVID-19 modeling case study.

Water supply and sanitation are essential household services frequently shared in resource-poor settings. Shared sanitation can increase the risk of enteric pathogen transmission due to suboptimal cleanliness of facilities used by large numbers of individuals. It also can potentially increase the risk of respiratory disease transmission. As sanitation is an essential need, shared sanitation facilities may act as important respiratory pathogen transmission venues even with strict control measures such as stay-at-home recommendations in place. This analysis explores how behavioral and infrastructural conditions surrounding shared sanitation may individually and interactively influence respiratory pathogen transmission. We developed an individual-based community transmission model using COVID-19 as a motivating example parameterized from empirical literature to explore how transmission in shared latrines interacts with transmission at the community level. We explored mitigation strategies, including infrastructural and behavioral interventions. Our review of empirical literature confirms that shared sanitation venues in resource-poor settings are relatively small with poor ventilation and high use patterns. In these contexts, shared sanitation facilities may act as strong drivers of respiratory disease transmission, especially in areas reliant on shared facilities. Decreasing dependence on shared latrines was most effective at attenuating sanitation-associated transmission. Improvements to latrine ventilation and handwashing behavior were also able to decrease transmission. The type and order of interventions are important in successfully attenuating disease risk, with infrastructural and engineering controls being most effective when administered first, followed by behavioral controls after successful attenuation of sufficient alternate transmission routes. Beyond COVID-19, our modeling framework can be extended to address water, sanitation, and hygiene measures targeted at a range of environmentally mediated infectious diseases.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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