利用多变量 GARCH 和 Copula 建模探索加密货币波动性和依赖性的组合框架

IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
{"title":"利用多变量 GARCH 和 Copula 建模探索加密货币波动性和依赖性的组合框架","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.physa.2024.130046","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>During the last years, cryptocurrencies have been increasingly becoming a relevant subject of academic researchers and investors. This paper adopts a novel framework that combines a multivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Copula modeling in a two-stage approach to analyze the cryptocurrency volatility dynamics. By combining the aforementioned techniques, on top of showing that price movements in one cryptocurrency can significantly influence others, the use of copulas highlight how these effects can vary across different parts of distributions and thus for different types of events with respect to their extreme nature. The interconnectedness complexity should be taken into consideration when managing risk in portfolio and constructing relevant models.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":20152,"journal":{"name":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A combined framework to explore cryptocurrency volatility and dependence using multivariate GARCH and Copula modeling\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.physa.2024.130046\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>During the last years, cryptocurrencies have been increasingly becoming a relevant subject of academic researchers and investors. This paper adopts a novel framework that combines a multivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Copula modeling in a two-stage approach to analyze the cryptocurrency volatility dynamics. By combining the aforementioned techniques, on top of showing that price movements in one cryptocurrency can significantly influence others, the use of copulas highlight how these effects can vary across different parts of distributions and thus for different types of events with respect to their extreme nature. The interconnectedness complexity should be taken into consideration when managing risk in portfolio and constructing relevant models.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20152,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"101\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437124005557\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"物理与天体物理\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","FirstCategoryId":"101","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437124005557","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

过去几年中,加密货币日益成为学术研究人员和投资者的相关主题。本文采用了一种新颖的框架,将多元广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)和 Copula 建模相结合,以两阶段方法分析加密货币的波动动态。通过结合上述技术,除了表明一种加密货币的价格变动会对其他加密货币产生重大影响外,Copulas 的使用还突出了这些影响在分布的不同部分会如何变化,从而针对不同类型事件的极端性质产生不同的影响。在管理投资组合风险和构建相关模型时,应考虑到相互关联的复杂性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A combined framework to explore cryptocurrency volatility and dependence using multivariate GARCH and Copula modeling

During the last years, cryptocurrencies have been increasingly becoming a relevant subject of academic researchers and investors. This paper adopts a novel framework that combines a multivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Copula modeling in a two-stage approach to analyze the cryptocurrency volatility dynamics. By combining the aforementioned techniques, on top of showing that price movements in one cryptocurrency can significantly influence others, the use of copulas highlight how these effects can vary across different parts of distributions and thus for different types of events with respect to their extreme nature. The interconnectedness complexity should be taken into consideration when managing risk in portfolio and constructing relevant models.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信