SIMKEF - 预测铃木果蝇侵染概率的决策支持系统

IF 2.5 2区农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY

Crop Protection Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI:10.1016/j.cropro.2024.106858

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引用次数: 0

摘要

铃木果蝇是一种入侵性、多食性软皮水果害虫，在包括德国在内的世界各地的果园和葡萄园造成了广泛的经济损失。决策支持系统（DSS）是控制铃木果蝇的必要手段，可避免在数量和质量上造成巨大的产量损失。在本研究中，我们介绍了新开发的决策支持系统 SIMKEF，该系统利用每小时的气温数据，模拟并预测了不同寄主作物果实成熟期的苏云金镰刀菌日侵染概率。对模型进行验证后发现，黑莓、甜樱桃、葡萄树 "Dornfelder"、酸樱桃、葡萄树 "Portugieser "和覆盆子的日侵染概率分别为 75%、54%、54%、40%、27% 和 25%。因此，SIMKEF 目前的原型需要进一步改进，以便在未来获得更高精度的模拟结果。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

SIMKEF – A decision support system to predict the infestation probability of Drosophila suzukii

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SIMKEF – A decision support system to predict the infestation probability of Drosophila suzukii

Drosophila suzukii is an invasive, polyphagous pest of soft-skinned fruits, causing widespread economic damage in orchards and vineyards worldwide, including Germany. Decision support systems (DSS) are necessary to control D. suzukii prior to the occurrence of considerable yield loss in terms of quantity and quality. In this study, we introduce the newly developed DSS SIMKEF, simulating and predicting the daily infestation probability of D. suzukii during the fruit ripening phase of different host crops, using hourly air temperature data. The model validation of daily infestation probability of D. suzukii resulted in correct simulations of 75% in blackberry, 54% in sweet cherry, 54% in grapevine ’Dornfelder’, 40% in sour cherry, 27% in grapevine ‘Portugieser’, and 25% in raspberry. Therefore, the current prototype of SIMKEF needs to be further improved to achieve higher accuracies of the simulation results in the future.

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来源期刊

Crop Protection 农林科学-农艺学

CiteScore

6.10

自引率

3.60%

发文量

200

审稿时长

29 days

期刊介绍： The Editors of Crop Protection especially welcome papers describing an interdisciplinary approach showing how different control strategies can be integrated into practical pest management programs, covering high and low input agricultural systems worldwide. Crop Protection particularly emphasizes the practical aspects of control in the field and for protected crops, and includes work which may lead in the near future to more effective control. The journal does not duplicate the many existing excellent biological science journals, which deal mainly with the more fundamental aspects of plant pathology, applied zoology and weed science. Crop Protection covers all practical aspects of pest, disease and weed control, including the following topics: -Abiotic damage- Agronomic control methods- Assessment of pest and disease damage- Molecular methods for the detection and assessment of pests and diseases- Biological control- Biorational pesticides- Control of animal pests of world crops- Control of diseases of crop plants caused by microorganisms- Control of weeds and integrated management- Economic considerations- Effects of plant growth regulators- Environmental benefits of reduced pesticide use- Environmental effects of pesticides- Epidemiology of pests and diseases in relation to control- GM Crops, and genetic engineering applications- Importance and control of postharvest crop losses- Integrated control- Interrelationships and compatibility among different control strategies- Invasive species as they relate to implications for crop protection- Pesticide application methods- Pest management- Phytobiomes for pest and disease control- Resistance management- Sampling and monitoring schemes for diseases, nematodes, pests and weeds.