哪些变量会影响电动汽车的采用?

IF 3.5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
Hamed Naseri, E. O. D. Waygood, Zachary Patterson, Bobin Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与内燃机汽车(ICEV)相比,了解影响人们对电动汽车(EV)偏好的因素至关重要。我们设计了一个离散选择实验,并以在线调查的形式进行,结果有 1077 份问卷完成。这项研究考察了超过 83 个变量对电动汽车偏好的影响。此外,以往的研究仅使用尾气排放来展示温室气体信息,而本研究则展示了汽车生命周期的温室气体排放。研究采用了五种集合学习技术和两种解释技术来调查个人在电动汽车和内燃机汽车之间的选择决策。结果表明,在介绍生命周期排放量时,财务影响是预测选择电动汽车还是内燃机汽车的主要影响因素。紧随财务影响之后的是对电动汽车的现有偏好以及与气候变化相关的态度。对于 BEV 和 PHEV 来说,如何介绍排放量分别是第 12 和第 9 个最有影响力的因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Which variables influence electric vehicle adoption?

Which variables influence electric vehicle adoption?

Understanding the factors that will influence people’s preferences for Electric Vehicles (EVs) over Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles (ICEVs) is crucial. A discrete choice experiment was designed and administered as an online survey resulting in 1077 completed questionnaires. This study examined the influence of over 83 variables on preferences for EVs. As well, previous studies have used tailpipe emissions only to present GHG information, but in this study lifecycle GHG emissions of vehicles are presented. Five ensemble learning techniques and two interpretation techniques were employed to investigate individual decisions regarding selecting between EVs and ICEVs. The results demonstrate that when lifecycle emissions are presented, financial impacts are the principal influences on predicting preference for an EV over ICEV. Following the financial impacts are existing preferences for EVs and attitudes related to climate change. How the emissions are presented was the 12th and 9th most influential factor for BEVs and PHEVs respectively.

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来源期刊
Transportation
Transportation 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
10.70
自引率
4.70%
发文量
94
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: In our first issue, published in 1972, we explained that this Journal is intended to promote the free and vigorous exchange of ideas and experience among the worldwide community actively concerned with transportation policy, planning and practice. That continues to be our mission, with a clear focus on topics concerned with research and practice in transportation policy and planning, around the world. These four words, policy and planning, research and practice are our key words. While we have a particular focus on transportation policy analysis and travel behaviour in the context of ground transportation, we willingly consider all good quality papers that are highly relevant to transportation policy, planning and practice with a clear focus on innovation, on extending the international pool of knowledge and understanding. Our interest is not only with transportation policies - and systems and services – but also with their social, economic and environmental impacts, However, papers about the application of established procedures to, or the development of plans or policies for, specific locations are unlikely to prove acceptable unless they report experience which will be of real benefit those working elsewhere. Papers concerned with the engineering, safety and operational management of transportation systems are outside our scope.
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