流行病控制活动-旅行政策的多目标优化:平衡社会经济阶层的健康和经济成果

IF 3.9 Q2 TRANSPORTATION
Cloe Cortes Balcells , Rico Krueger , Michel Bierlaire
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引用次数: 0

摘要

了解流动动态及其对流行病传播的影响对于有效的管理策略至关重要,尽管这一概念很重要,但在传统流行病学模型中的整合却很有限。本研究介绍了一种新颖的决策支持工具,它将基于活动的流动动态模型与多群体分区 SIRD(易感-感染-恢复-死亡)感染传播模型相结合。该工具包含一个多目标优化框架,可评估社会经济区块中公共卫生与经济因素之间的权衡。我们的研究结果表明,针对特定人口群体的政策能显著提高干预效果。该框架采用多目标建模方法,通过一个用户友好的仪表板,为决策者提供了一系列优化的定制策略。这种可视化方法沿着帕累托前沿对潜在结果进行比较,有助于选择平衡有效的政策。拟议的模型在流行病管理方面迈出了重要一步,为危机情况下的数据驱动决策提供了一个强大的平台。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multi-objective optimization of activity-travel policies for epidemic control: Balancing health and economic outcomes on socio-economic segments

Understanding mobility dynamics and their influence on epidemic spread is crucial for effective management strategies, a concept that, despite its importance, has received limited integration in traditional epidemiological models. This study introduces a novel decision support tool that integrates an activity-based model for mobility dynamics with a multi-group compartmental SIRD (Susceptible–Infected–Recovered–Dead) model for infection transmission. The tool consists of a multi-objective optimization framework that evaluates the trade-offs between public health and economic factors in socioeconomic segments. Our findings show that policies targeted at specific demographic groups significantly improve the efficacy of interventions. The framework provides policymakers with a collection of optimized and customized strategies through a user-friendly dashboard, using a multi-objective modeling approach. This visualization compares potential outcomes along the Pareto frontier, helping to select balanced and effective policies. The proposed model offers a significant step forward in epidemic management, providing a robust platform for data-driven decision making in crisis scenarios.

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来源期刊
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives Engineering-Automotive Engineering
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
185
审稿时长
22 weeks
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