{"title":"禁止使用内燃机乘用车对环境和健康的影响：英国利兹案例研究","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104343","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Governments worldwide are considering banning the sale of internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to address environmental and public health issues. However, the environmental and health impacts of banning ICEV sales remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the effects of banning ICEV sales under various implementation timelines on PM<sub>2.5</sub> and NO<sub>x</sub> emissions in Leeds, UK, and the associated premature deaths, using a novel ’Fleet-Emission-Health’ model. The results showed that the earlier ban on ICEV sales led to an almost 100% reduction in NO<sub>x</sub> by 2040, whereas total PM<sub>2.5</sub> increased slightly due to more non-exhaust PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions emitted from battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Moreover, banning ICEV sales in 2030 would avoid 28 deaths in Leeds in 2040 compared to those in 2022, due to the reduction of NO<sub>x</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions from ICEV exhaust. The findings indicate that stricter regulations on non-exhaust emissions are necessary to mitigate environmental and public health effects.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003006/pdfft?md5=f934d182e2549bf0b6711c14c4ce5033&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003006-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Environmental and health impacts of banning passenger cars with internal combustion engines: A case study of Leeds, UK\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104343\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Governments worldwide are considering banning the sale of internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to address environmental and public health issues. However, the environmental and health impacts of banning ICEV sales remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the effects of banning ICEV sales under various implementation timelines on PM<sub>2.5</sub> and NO<sub>x</sub> emissions in Leeds, UK, and the associated premature deaths, using a novel ’Fleet-Emission-Health’ model. The results showed that the earlier ban on ICEV sales led to an almost 100% reduction in NO<sub>x</sub> by 2040, whereas total PM<sub>2.5</sub> increased slightly due to more non-exhaust PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions emitted from battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Moreover, banning ICEV sales in 2030 would avoid 28 deaths in Leeds in 2040 compared to those in 2022, due to the reduction of NO<sub>x</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions from ICEV exhaust. The findings indicate that stricter regulations on non-exhaust emissions are necessary to mitigate environmental and public health effects.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23277,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003006/pdfft?md5=f934d182e2549bf0b6711c14c4ce5033&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003006-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003006\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003006","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Environmental and health impacts of banning passenger cars with internal combustion engines: A case study of Leeds, UK
Governments worldwide are considering banning the sale of internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) to address environmental and public health issues. However, the environmental and health impacts of banning ICEV sales remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the effects of banning ICEV sales under various implementation timelines on PM2.5 and NOx emissions in Leeds, UK, and the associated premature deaths, using a novel ’Fleet-Emission-Health’ model. The results showed that the earlier ban on ICEV sales led to an almost 100% reduction in NOx by 2040, whereas total PM2.5 increased slightly due to more non-exhaust PM2.5 emissions emitted from battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Moreover, banning ICEV sales in 2030 would avoid 28 deaths in Leeds in 2040 compared to those in 2022, due to the reduction of NOx and PM2.5 emissions from ICEV exhaust. The findings indicate that stricter regulations on non-exhaust emissions are necessary to mitigate environmental and public health effects.
期刊介绍：
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution.
We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.
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