利用地震-海啸脆化面进行社区层面的复原力分析

Mojtaba Harati, John W. van de Lindt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究介绍了一种先进的社区级复原力分析方法,该方法整合了三维脆性面,可用于地震-海啸灾害的综合连续分析。该方法有助于全面评估多重灾害条件下的空间破坏、经济损失和风险。本研究将纯地震分析结果与社区层面的地震-海啸连续分析结果进行了比较,揭示并量化了两种分析之间在损害和损失估计方面的显著差异,强调了在社区规划中同时考虑两种灾害的必要性,即使在地震烈度较低的情况下也是如此。对联邦紧急事务管理局(FEMA)综合规则的严格评估表明,该规则在准确预测较高灾害强度下的损失和损害模式方面存在局限性,这突出表明有必要改进模型,以准确考虑灾害的相互作用。这项研究为地震和海啸评估提供了一个强有力的框架,从而推进了多灾害社区层面的抗灾能力分析,强调了将详细的多灾害分析纳入抗灾规划的必要性。最后,该研究提出了未来的发展方向,以加强框架在不同社区环境和结构类型中的适用性,从而提高社区的抗灾能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Community-Level resilience analysis using earthquake-tsunami fragility surfaces

This study introduces an advanced community-level resilience analysis methodology integrating 3D fragility surfaces for combined successive earthquake-tsunami hazard and analysis. The methodology facilitates comprehensive evaluations of spatial damage, economic loss, and risk under multi-hazard conditions. This study compares earthquake-only analysis results to the successive earthquake-tsunami analysis at the community level to reveal – and quantify - significant disparities in damage and loss estimations between the analyses, emphasizing the need to consider both hazards in community planning even at lower seismic intensities. Critical assessment of the FEMA combinational rule demonstrates its limitations in accurately predicting losses and damage patterns at higher hazard intensities, highlighting the necessity for refined models that accurately account for hazard interactions. This research advances multi-hazard community-level resilience analysis by offering a robust framework for earthquake and tsunami assessment, underscoring the need for integration of detailed multi-hazard analyses into resilience planning. Finally, it suggests future directions for enhancing framework applicability across diverse community settings and structural types, aiming to improve community resilience.

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