气候时间序列的相对同质化

IF 2.5 4区 地球科学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Atmosphere Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI:10.3390/atmos15080957
Peter Domonkos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对观测到的气候数据时间序列进行同质化处理,目的是消除气候观测历史上技术变化造成的非气候偏差。气候信息的空间冗余有助于用统计方法识别特定站点的非均质性,但要正确检测和消除非均质性偏差,通常不容易发现单个非均质性的综合影响。在同质化程序中,通常会通过大量的空间比较,将在一个气候区域观测到的特定气候变量的多个时间序列同质化在一起。这种程序称为相对同质化。相对同质化程序可能包括一个或多个同质化循环,其中一个循环包括时间序列比较、不均匀性检测和不均匀性校正等步骤,还可能包括过滤离群值或填补数据缺口的空间插值等其他步骤。相对同质化方法因单个同质化周期的数量和内容、时间序列比较的程序、统计不均匀性检测方法、消除不均匀性偏差的方式以及其他具体细节而有所不同。高效的同质化需要在部分或全自动同质化程序中使用经过测试的统计方法。由于西班牙 MULTITEST 项目(2015-2017 年)完成了大量且种类繁多的均质化实验,其方法对比测试结果仍是目前使用的均质化方法效率方面最有参考价值的信息。本研究简要回顾了相对均质的进展,回顾了 MULTITEST 项目的一些关键成果,并分析了成功均质的一些理论方面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relative Homogenization of Climatic Time Series
Homogenization of the time series of observed climatic data aims to remove non-climatic biases caused by technical changes during the history of the climate observations. The spatial redundancy of climate information helps to recognize station-specific inhomogeneities with statistical methods, but the correct detection and removal of inhomogeneity biases is generally not easy for the combined effects of individual inhomogeneities. In a homogenization procedure, several time series of a given climatic variable observed in one climatic region are usually homogenized together via a large number of spatial comparisons between them. Such procedures are called relative homogenization. A relative homogenization procedure may include one or more homogenization cycles where a cycle includes the steps of time series comparison, inhomogeneity detection and corrections for inhomogeneities, and they may include other steps like the filtering of outlier values or spatial interpolations for infilling data gaps. Relative homogenization methods differ according to the number and content of the individual homogenization cycles, the procedure for the time series comparisons, the statistical inhomogeneity detection method, the way of the inhomogeneity bias removal, among other specifics. Efficient homogenization needs the use of tested statistical methods to be included in partly or fully automated homogenization procedures. Due to the large number and high variety of homogenization experiments fulfilled in the Spanish MULTITEST project (2015–2017), its method comparison test results are still the most informative about the efficiencies of homogenization methods in use. This study presents a brief review of the advances in relative homogenization, recalls some key results of the MULTITEST project, and analyzes some theoretical aspects of successful homogenization.
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来源期刊
Atmosphere
Atmosphere METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
13.80%
发文量
1769
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433) is an international and cross-disciplinary scholarly journal of scientific studies related to the atmosphere. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, communications and short notes, and there is no restriction on the length of the papers. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical research in as much detail as possible. Full experimental and/or methodical details must be provided for research articles.
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